October 2007 - Posts - Stark Ravings

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October 31, 2007

Jay Cost on Last Night's Debate: Did It Really Mean Anything?
By webteam
The always astute Jay Cost at RealClearPolitics has an interesting post this afternoon whose headline speaks for itself: “A Junkie's Debate...And Nothing More.” And Jay is right in a way – though to paraphrase Bill Clinton, it depends on what the meaning of junkie is.
As we wrote before the debate, the real importance of this debate was the effect it would have on Iowa voters choosing who should carry the banner of the anti-Hillary forces -- a decision that would have a key spillover effect elsewhere

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Democrats, Press

October 31, 2007

Quinnipiac Joins Rasmussen In Showing Giuliani With A Lead Over Hillary
By webteam
More problems for Hillary: Now Quinnipiac joins Rasmussen in also showing Rudy ahead of her in the national numbers. (McCain is tied with her.)
Electability began to become an issue last night -- and we can expect to hear more about it from Hillary's opponents in the days ahead. The problem is that her two main Democratic opponents aren't really doing statistically better -- though Obama does manage to squeak by Giuliani by a single point in this latest Quinnipiac survey.

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Clinton, Democrats, Giuliani

October 31, 2007

The Long Term Significance of Last Night's Debate -- The Emergence of Edwards and the Appearance of a Possible Character Flaw for Hillary
By webteam
Here's the Tote Board's morning after take on the debate.

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Clinton, Democrats, Edwards

October 31, 2007

Instant Debate Analysis: Edwards Helps Himself the Most; Obama Gains A Bit, But Hillary Struggles
By webteam

There will undoubtedly be plenty of analysis in the morning. And, as we noted before the debate, this event should be judged in tandem with the next debate in mid-November, with an eye towards seeing which Democrat emerges in Iowa and New Hampshire as Hillary's principal challenger.
Nevertheless, some quick reactions: Edwards helped himself the most in this encounter by reinforcing his image as the leading liberal populist challenger to Clinton.

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Democrats, Edwards

October 30, 2007

Is the Bottom Falling Out for Fred?
By webteam
My colleague David Bernstein has the news on the latest GOP poll in South Carolina, which shows Mitt Romney surging. The equally significant news from the poll (if, of course, it's accurate) is that Thompson appears to be sinking in a state he has to win -- given that he already looks like a goner in both New Hampshire and Iowa.

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Republicans, Thompson

October 30, 2007

Ads Classified: Dueling Commercials Again -- Clinton and Obama Run Similar Spots on Social Security
By webteam
The latest Tote Board take on the ads of Hillary and Obama.

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Ads Classified, Clinton, Democrats

October 30, 2007

A Preview Of Tonight's MSNBC Democratic Debate
By webteam
Here's the Tote Board's take on tonight's key Democratic debate.

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Democrats, Edwards, Obama

October 29, 2007

Romney Leads in SC???
By webteam
My colleague David Bernstein has the latest poll from South Carolina which seems to show an upsurge of support for Mitt Romney.
If it's true (a big if) and if it holds (a bigger if), Mitt is putting himself in a position to run the table in January. And, if that happens, it's just about over -- even before we get to Super Tuesday on February 5.

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Republicans, Romney

October 29, 2007

In the Latest National Rasmussen Poll, Giuliani Is Now Ahead of Hillary Again
By webteam

Polls obviously don't mean much at this stage, a year before the election. But if Rudy Giuliani gets the GOP nod, Democrats should not assume the cakewalk many are currently assuming. In the latest Rasmussen match-up, Giuliani now leads Clinton by two percentage points which, given the current weak state of the GOP, is either a remarkable testament to Rudy, awful weakness by Hillary (not that Obama is doing that well either) or both.

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Clinton, Democrats, Edwards

October 25, 2007

Memo to McCain: Running Against Woodstock Is Not the Best Strategy
By webteam
John McCain is up with a new ad in New Hampshire reprising his high moment from the recent GOP debate when he went after Hillary Clinton for attempting to fund a Woodstock museum. Yes, it was a great line and a great moment, drawing a standing ovation. And yes, it reminds us that McCain was a POW and war hero.
But Woodstock was, well, almost 40 years ago.

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McCain, Republicans

October 25, 2007

Tote Board Column -- 10/25 -- Free Speech!
By webteam
This week's Tote Board column suggests a new stump speech approach for Barack Obama.

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Democrats, Obama, Tote Board Archive

October 24, 2007

Ad-Hoc Liberal Dem Group Plans to Mobilize Against Hillary
By webteam
The Politico's Ben Smith is reporting that an ad-hoc liberal group plans to run a campaign against Hillary Clinton in the early states by running at her from the left.
One has to wonder what's behind it -- particularly financially. But if it's kosher -- and the group ends up garnering significant funds -- it could obviously help Obama and Edwards.

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Clinton, Democrats

October 24, 2007

In a New Poll, Colbert Gets 13% in a Three-Way Race with Clinton and Giuliani --- and Helps Democrats
By webteam
Stephen Colbert would draw 13% nationally n the latest Rasmussen Poll in a Clinton-Giuliani race, with Clinton winning 45%-35%. But it’s worth pointing out an important point the poll illustrates, beyond Colbert's rather incredible showing. Virtually any third-party candidacy in 2008 is going to hurt the Republicans.

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Colbert, Democrats, Republicans

October 23, 2007

A Tale of Two Ads -- The Latest from Clinton and Obama
By webteam
A new Tote Board posting: A tale of two ads -- the latest from Clinton and Obama.

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Clinton, Democrats, Obama

October 22, 2007

Endorsements Don't Really Count . . . But . . . Chuck Norris Endorses Huckabee!!!!!!
By webteam
Endorsements don't really count . . . but . . . Chuck Norris endorses Huckabee!!!!!!
Actually, this might help him a little and if you don't know why, this will explain. Huckabee is now gaining a bit of momentum. Chuck Norris!!!

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Huckabee

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