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January 03, 2008

Instant Analysis of GOP Iowa Caucus Results: Huckabee Decisively Defeats Romney
By webteam
Early evening:

Mike Huckabee has won the Iowa caucuses decisively over Mitt Romney -- perhaps by something approaching double digits. This is a severe blow obviously to the Romney candidacy which now faces virtually a must-win in a New Hampshire contest Tuesday that appears to be strongly leaning to John McCain.

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Huckabee, Republicans

January 02, 2008

What Dominated the TV News Last Night In Des Moines?
By webteam
The press continues to focus on Huckabee's "meltdown" press conference of two days ago. Meanwhile, what dominated the TV news last night in Des Moines? According to Mike Allen of the Politico, it was the Huck and Chuck rally which featured Huckabee jamming with a band.
Tonight Huckabee heads to Hollywood to do Leno.

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Huckabee, Republicans

January 01, 2008

If The Press Says Huckabee's “Meltdown” Will Cost Him The Caucus, It Probably Means It's Irrelevant
By webteam
The Iowa campaign media, hungry for a dramatic moment and hypersensitive to anything that looks like a trend, have seized on Mike Huckabee’s press conference yesterday (where he announced he was pulling a negative ad at the last minute but showed it anyway to the press) as a metaphor for a meltdown in his campaign, with Joe Klein, Marc Cooper, and others joining the chorus.

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Huckabee, Republicans

January 01, 2008

Update to Des Moines Register Poll: There's a Huge "If" Attached But "If" The Poll is Accurate, It Doesn't Only Help Obama -- It Helps Huckabee
By webteam
Last night, we wrote briefly about the last Des Moines Register poll that shows Obama significantly ahead of Clinton and Edwards -- in contrast to the flow of several other polls that actually had Obama heading into last. Here's the significant difference: The Register poll, a s neatly outlined by Marc Ambinder and others, posits that the Democratic caucuses will be flooded by record turnout -- driven chiefly by independents and even some Republicans.

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Democrats, Huckabee, Obama

December 30, 2007

Two Scenarios For A Last-Minute Iowa GOP Surge
By webteam

With Thursday looming, here's what could happen in the GOP race to tilt things one way or the other:

Romney: The constant negative attacks keep working and with a superior organization, Romney grinds out a victory, with McCain and Thompson cutting into Huckabee's potential totals.
Huckabee: Many of Huckabee's supporters are evangelical Christians and first-time voters -- under the radar so to speak -- and so they weren't picked up as much by pollsters nor were they swayed by the negative attacks all that much either.

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Huckabee, Republicans, Romney

December 21, 2007

Mike Huckabee: They Love Him for the Enemies He's Made
By webteam
Mike Huckabee: They love him for the enemies he's made. The Tote Board's take.

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Huckabee, Republicans

December 13, 2007

Tote Board Column -- 12/13 -- Country Cousins: Why Huckabee May Be the New Jimmy Carter
By webteam

This week's Tote Board column -- why Mike Huckabee may be the new Jimmy Carter.

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Huckabee, Republicans, Tote Board Archive

December 11, 2007

Why Huckabee's Gaffes Aren't Gaffes
By webteam
Why Huckabee's "gaffes" aren't gaffes -- the Tote Board's take.

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Huckabee, Republicans

December 05, 2007

Rasmussen National Poll Now Has Huckabee As GOP Front-Runner
By webteam
It is one heck of a turnaround: Rasmussen now has Huckabee in first place among Republicans in a national poll, albeit with only 20% of the vote.
What's caused this is that Rudy Giuliani has dropped a full ten points in the last six days -- no doubt in reaction to the "scandal" stories that emerged last week about Giuliani and the NYPD providing security and transportation for his then-mistress, Judith Nathan.

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Giuliani, Huckabee, Republicans

December 02, 2007

The Significance of the New Des Moines Register Poll That Has Obama and Huckabee Ahead
By webteam
This morning's latest numbers from the respected Des Moines Register poll, which voters in Iowa pay attention to:

Obama: 28
Clinton: 25
Edwards: 23

Huckabee 29
Romney: 24
Giuliani: 13

The signficance:

-- Romney is in trouble in Iowa. That isn't to say he can't come back but he's going to have to wage a fairly negative campaign to do it, which could hurt him in the long run.

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Clinton, Democrats, Edwards

November 29, 2007

The Press Reacts to Last Night's CNN GOP Debate: Huckabee the Winner
By webteam
The press reaction to last night's debate generally conforms to what we said last night with one exception: While they give it to Huckabee, many found Giuliani to have an off night.
Still, what counts is what went over in Iowa and David Yepsen in the Des Moines Register thought Huckabee did well. The Mittster is in trouble which, over time, is good news for both Giuliani and McCain, who need Romney to fade in Iowa so they can potentially move up in New Hampshire.

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Huckabee, Republicans

November 28, 2007

Rasmussen Iowa Poll Now Has Huckabee Ahead of Romney
By webteam
The latest Rasmussen poll now has Mike Huckabee ahead of Mitt Romney in Iowa 28%-25%. It's a stunning turnaround and if it holds -- a big "if" -- Mitt's campaign will virtually end the night of the Iowa caucuses.

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Huckabee, Republicans, Romney

November 14, 2007

The New York Times GOP Numbers: If They're Right, Huckabee is Within Striking Distance of Romney in Iowa
By webteam

The GOP Republican numbers in Iowa and New Hampshire, according to the latest New York Times poll:

IOWA

Romney 27%
Huckabee 21%
Giuliani 15%
(just the top 3 listed)

NEW HAMPSHIRE

Romney 34%
Giuliani 16%
McCain 16%
(just the top 3 listed)

Three significant things to watch: First, Huckabee is within striking distance of an upset in Iowa.

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Giuliani, Huckabee, McCain

November 11, 2007

In the Latest National Rasmussen Poll, The Real News Is the Growing Strength of Romney
By webteam

Rasmussen is out with another national match-up today and while John McCain, again, continues to be the only Republican to run ahead of Hillary, the real news is that Romney now only trails Clinton by 5% -- 47%-42%.
This continues an upwards trajectory for Romney in matchups against Clinton and means that in Rasmussen's polls at least, Giuliani currently runs no more strongly against the Democratic front-runner than Romney does.

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Giuliani, Huckabee, McCain

November 08, 2007

More Good News for Huckabee: In a National Rasmussen Matchup, He Trails Hillary By Only Three
By webteam
More good news for Mike Huckabee: In a national Rasmussen matchup with Hillary, he only trails by 3%, 46%-43%.
The good news here is that only several weeks ago, Rasmussen didn't have Giuliani doing that much better -- he was ahead of Hillary by 2%. And the really good news for Huckabee is that even though Rasmussen apparently hasn't polled Romney-Clinton recently, last month Romney trailed Clinton by six points.

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Clinton, Democrats, Huckabee

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Related: Clinton, Democrats, Edwards, Giuliani, McCain, Obama, Paul, Republicans, Romney, Thompson, Tote Board Archive,

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