McCain - Stark Ravings

March 13, 2008

Tote Board Column -- 3/13 -- "Ridge to the Future"
By webteam
This week's Tote Board column looks at why John McCain should pick former Pennsylvania governor Tom Ridge as his running mate -- if Barack Obama is the Democratic nominee.

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McCain, Republicans

February 21, 2008

How the Times Story Is Actually Helping McCain With Conservatives
By webteam
For weeks there’s been speculation about how John McCain could possibly convince his party’s right wing to rally around him.
The New York Times may have helped him take a giant step in that direction.
Opinions can differ about whether the Times should have gone with its story about McCain and his alleged close relationship ten years ago with a female lobbyist.

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McCain, Republicans

January 30, 2008

Preview of Tonight's GOP Debate -- and Tomorrow's Democratic Debate Too, For That Matter
By webteam

The Tote Board may have acquired a severe case of campaign fatigue because, for once, we agree with Bill Kristol. Tonight's GOP debate is important -- and to a lesser extent, so is tomorrow's Democratic face-off -- both because it's crunch time and because unless the dynamics change, John McCain and Hillary Clinton seem likely to win their parties' nominations.

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Clinton, Democrats, McCain

January 30, 2008

Giuliani Reportedly Set to Endorse McCain; The Romney Campaign is in Trouble
By webteam

With Rudy Giuliani reportedly set to endorse John McCain, the Romney candidacy is in trouble. Sure, he can continue to spend his millions and he's a finalist in a two-and-a-half person race, with Mike Huckabee lingering in the background. But in five direct races since January, he's won one -- Michigan -- where his family name likely carried him to victory.

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McCain, Republicans, Romney

January 22, 2008

One Florida Sub-Plot: McCain vs. Giuliani
By webteam
McCain vs. Giuliani in Florida -- the Tote Board's take.

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Giuliani, McCain, Republicans

January 08, 2008

A Note of Caution Amidst the Euphoria: In Latest Ohio Poll, McCain Defeats Obama
By webteam
Amidst all the Democratic euphoria, a note of caution: In the latest Survey USA poll of Ohio, John McCain defeats Barack Obama by seven points -- 50%-43%. And, if Obama can't carry Ohio (at least against McCain), he's not going to carry Florida either and he's not going to be president of the United States.
The Democrats have their work cut out for them.

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Democrats, McCain, Obama

January 05, 2008

Rasmussen Has Obama Way Up in NH But There's Good News in the Poll for McCain Too
By webteam

The first Rasmussen post-Iowa New Hampshire poll has Obama ten points ahead of Clinton -- 37%-27% -- with Edwards lurking in the high teens.
But there's also good news in this Democratic poll for John McCain. Rasmussen estimates that 40% of the NH Democratic vote total will be composed of Independents. That's exactly the percentage of Independents in the Democratic NH primary electorate in 2000 (when McCain beat George Bush in the other contest) -- which means that enough Independents should be left over to vote in the GOP primary on Tuesday and provide McCain the boost he needs.

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Democrats, McCain, Obama

January 03, 2008

According to Reports, Thompson Preparing to Withdraw -- Some Expect Him Then To Endorse McCain
By webteam
The Politico is reporting that absent a strong showing by Fred Thompson tonight -- which is unlikely -- he is preparing to withdraw and could endorse his long-time friend, John McCain.
The McCain bandwagon is rolling.

Later Update:For the record, Thompson spokespeople are denying the accuracy of the report. We'll see.

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McCain, Republicans, Thompson

January 01, 2008

First Poll to Show McCain in Lead in NH Appears
By webteam
With only, believe it or not, a week to go until New Hampshire, Boston's Channel 7, along with Suffolk University, has new numbers for both parties in NH. They are:

McCain 30%
Romney 25%
Giuliani 14%

and

Clinton 36%
Obama 22%
Edwards 14%

This is the first poll of which we're aware that has McCain ahead of Romney, though it certainly reflects the trend over the past two weeks.

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Democrats, McCain, Republicans

December 27, 2007

Tote Board Column -- 12/27 -- "McCain Still Able"
By webteam
This week's Tote Board column looks at how electable each of the major candidates is and concludes that if John McCain can win the GOP nomination, he's the best bet to be the next president.

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Democrats, McCain, Republicans

December 20, 2007

McCain Is On the Move
By webteam
As we related earlier, we're not going to react to every waver in the polls -- there will be many in the days ahead. But when the trend is significant, we'll note it, and there are unmistakable signs that John McCain is having a signficant surge in both Iowa and New Hampshire that could change the shape of the race.
The big losers, obviously, are Mitt Romney and Rudy Giuliani.

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McCain, Republicans

December 16, 2007

Lieberman to Endorse McCain Tomorrow But How Much It Will Help Is Questionable
By webteam
Marc Ambinder is reporting that Democratic independent Joe Lieberman will endorse John McCain tomorrow.
The question is: Will it help him? Certainly not with Republicans. The question is how many conservative Democrats and independents will it mobilize to support McCain in New Hampshire.
The guess here is not many -- unless McCain is actively prepared to make an explicit last-minute case to independents why they should favor him over, say, Barack Obama.

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McCain, Republicans

December 16, 2007

The Des Moines Register Endorsement Of Hillary Is Close To Meaningless
By webteam
The Des Moines Register has endorsed Hillary Clinton for president.
Big deal.
For 364 days of the year, everyone discusses how newspapers are losing their readership and influence. On the 365th, we’re supposed to believe that newspaper endorsements move voters.
How important is the Register endorsement? Well, even including eras when the Internet didn’t threaten newspapers, in 2004, the Register endorsed John Edwards; in 2000, Bill Bradley; in 1992, no one, and in 1988, Paul Simon.

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Clinton, Democrats, McCain

December 02, 2007

Manchester Union Leader Endorses McCain: Does It Matter?
By webteam
The political press will be making a big deal this morning of the Manchester Union Leader's endorsement of John McCain.
Here's a historical reminder of whom the Union Leader endorsed in the last few contested GOP primaries:

2000: Steve Forbes
1996: Pat Buchanan
1992: Pat Buchanan
1988: Pete DuPont

You can draw the necessary conclusion: There's a bit less here than meets the eye.

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McCain, Republicans

November 14, 2007

The New York Times GOP Numbers: If They're Right, Huckabee is Within Striking Distance of Romney in Iowa
By webteam

The GOP Republican numbers in Iowa and New Hampshire, according to the latest New York Times poll:

IOWA

Romney 27%
Huckabee 21%
Giuliani 15%
(just the top 3 listed)

NEW HAMPSHIRE

Romney 34%
Giuliani 16%
McCain 16%
(just the top 3 listed)

Three significant things to watch: First, Huckabee is within striking distance of an upset in Iowa.

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Giuliani, Huckabee, McCain

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