July 2007 - Posts - Stark Ravings

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July 31, 2007

A New Diageo/Hotline Poll is Very Good News for Giuliani
By webteam
A Diageo/Hotline from last week has a nugget with very good news for Rudy Giuliani. The poll showed him leading Fred Thompson by only a point -- 20%-19%. But with John McCain out of the race, almost all of the Arizona Senator's support went to Giuliani -- increasing his lead over Thompson to 15 points, 36%-21%.
This could be due to the fact that Thompson is still relatively unknown.

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Giuliani, McCain, Republicans

July 30, 2007

Ads classified: Obama's Radio Ads in SC
By webteam
Further fallout from the debate: Barack Obama is now running a radio ad in South Carolina directly aimed at the black community. It follows this debate exchange, as recounted by CNN:

During the debate, one YouTube questioner asked the Illinois Democrat how he would respond to African-Americans who say he is not black enough.

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Ads Classified, Democrats, Obama

July 27, 2007

For Those Who Think Gingrich Isn't Running II . . . .
By webteam
After calling the GOP field "pygmies," Newt Gingrich has retreated somewhat, with the Politico now reporting that the former Speaker had dinner recently with Fred Thompson and may back his bid to be president. Maybe so, though it could be that Gingrich was just taking a moment to size up the opposition.
For Newt, it's probably now or never, which is why we still think he ends up a candidate.

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Gingrich, Republicans

July 26, 2007

Tote Board Column -- 7/26 -- O Positive
By webteam
This week's Tote Board column, "O Positive," looks at how Oprah Winfrey's endorsement of Barack Obama could prove key in the presidential race.

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Democrats, Obama, Tote Board Archive

July 25, 2007

Ads Classified: Giuliani Hits the Radio Airwaves in Iowa and NH
By webteam
Until now, Mitt Romney has pretty much had the GOP airwaves to himself -- which is one reason he's sprinted to a lead in the first two states. Now, Rudy Giuliani has begun running 3 radio ads in Iowa and New Hampshire including this one, "Out of Control." They're essentially bio ads, focusing on the challenges Mayor Giuliani faced in New York dealing with the economy and crime.

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Ads Classified, Giuliani, Republicans

July 24, 2007

Did Obama Make a Gaffe Last Night?
By webteam

The Clinton camp has gone on the attack after the debate, in the light of Barack Obama's comments last night that he'd be willing to meet with foreign leaders from "rogue nations" such as Iran and Cuba during his first year in office without preconditions. Both Hillary and Edwards responded at the debate that they were unwilling to make that pledge, with Clinton saying that lower-level diplomatic contacts should come first, to avoid having the president used by our enemies.

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Clinton, Democrats, Obama

July 24, 2007

Ads Classified: The Edwards YouTube Hair Ad
By webteam
We mentioned last night the terrific YouTube ad from the debate from the Edwards camp which finally responds to all the controversy about his $400 haircut. It's available here.
As we said then, if we were running the Edwards campaign, we'd put it up on the air.

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Ads Classified, Democrats, Edwards

July 24, 2007

For Those Who Think Gingrich Isn't Running . . . .
By webteam
For those who think Gingrich isn't running, read this interview from yesterday in which he dismissed the current GOP field as a "pathetic" bunch of "pygmies." At this point, it would seem hard for him not to run.

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Gingrich, Republicans

July 24, 2007

The Democratic Debate the Morning After
By webteam
There was no clear consensus on who benefited from last night's debate. Ben Smith in the Politico noted that Roger Simon of the Politico said Edwards, Mark Halperin of Time said Obama, and Joe Klein of Time said Clinton. Marc Ambinder of the Atlantic blogged that Chris Cillizza of the Washington Post seemed to give it to Edwards as did Chuck Todd of NBC and that the Drudge online poll gave it to Obama.

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Democrats

July 24, 2007

Instant Analysis of Tonight's Democratic Debate -- The Best So Far
By webteam
Tonight's Democratic debate was the best so far because the questions from the general public were so much better and more authentic than those always posed by journalists.
A very quick analysis: In that environment of authenticity, the candidates who did the best were those who came off as real and not overtly political. Barack Obama (who gets better with every debate) and John Edwards fit that bill the best and so did Joe Biden, especially in the second half when he finally managed not to sound so angry.

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Democrats

July 23, 2007

Ho Hum, Another Democratic Debate Tonight
By webteam
Debate fatigue for the Democrats has set in, notes the Washington Post, and it's a wonder it took this long. No one can even figure out if this is the third or fifth debate already and -- get this -- there are at least a half-dozen more scheduled before we even get to the key debates in Iowa and New Hampshire after the first of the year.

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Democrats, Press

July 20, 2007

Ads Classified: Elizabeth Edwards Appears on Behalf of Her Husband
By webteam
We did a column several weeks ago on how big an asset Elizabeth Edwards had become in her husband's race for the nomination. Thus, it's no surprise that she now stars in one of his ads, now running in New Hampshire. It's essentially a glowing testimonial -- one that would be almost embarrassing in its effusiveness were it coming from anyone else.

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Ads Classified, Democrats, Edwards

July 19, 2007

Tote Board Column -- 7/19 -- Outsmarting Himself
By webteam
This week's Tote Board column, "Outsmarting Himself," looks at whether Obama's race can trump the egghead factor in his pursuit of the Democratic nomination.

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Democrats, Obama, Tote Board Archive

July 18, 2007

Ads Classified: Mitt Romney's New Ad "Ocean" Catches A Wave
By webteam
Mitt Romney is up with a new 60-second spot, "Ocean," available here. It's the best ad of the campaign so far because it eloquently addresses an issue -- the polluted culture in which kids grow up -- that no one is talking about in the campaign but everyone talks about privately. As kids play on a beach, Romney talks about how he'd like to clean up the violence and pornography of everyday American life that surround children on the internet or in video games.

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Ads Classified, Republicans, Romney

July 17, 2007

Why Republicans Don't Like Anybody
By webteam
There's an interesting new poll out , courtesy of AP, that shows that more Republican voters favor "none of the above" than any of the current candidates. Part of that, of course, is that the race is still early and many haven't focused on a particular choice.
But the main reason -- and one seldom focused on by the press -- is that many Republican voters sense that their political leadership of the country has been pretty much a failure.

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Republicans

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