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Stark Ravings
May 31, 2007
Tote Board Column -- 5/31 -- Best In Show
By
webteam
This week's Tote Board column
assesses the impact of Fred Thompson's entry into the GOP race and previews this week's debates on CNN (Sunday for the Dems;Tuesday for the GOP). The Tote Board blog will feature assessments of those debates after their conclusions.
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Democrats
,
Republicans
,
Tote Board Archive
May 30, 2007
Fred Thompson to Formally Enter Race in July
By
webteam
The Politico is reporting this morning
that Fred Thompson will officially become a presidential candidate over the July 4th holiday. His entry will obviously have a profound effect on the GOP race -- an effect that, ironically, is the subject of this week's Tote Board column, written before today but out tomorrow.
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Republicans
,
Thompson, F.
,
Thompson, Fred
May 29, 2007
The Baltimore Sun Reports On A Revealing Focus Group
By
webteam
Focus group polls can be extremely revealing, especially at this point in the campaign. When pollsters can talk with a group of voters for more than a few minutes, they often get them to reveal their preferences and leanings in a way that's impossible in an up-or-down poll.
This article last week
in the Baltimore Sun on a recent focus group conducted by the estimable Peter Hart in the Baltimore suburbs didn't receive a lot of attention.
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Democrats
,
Republicans
May 25, 2007
Clinton, Dodd, and Obama Among the "Senate 14" Who Vote To Cut Off War Funding
By
webteam
Two weeks ago,
we wrote about
how the next Congressional vote on the Iraq War might become a key dividing line in the Democratic race for the presidency. Thanks to yesterday's vote on legislation to continue funding the war, that dividing line has virtually disappeared.
The Senate voted 80-14 to continue funding the war
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Democrats
May 24, 2007
Leaked Clinton Memo Advising Candidate to Skip Iowa Is Bad Advice and Bad News
By
webteam
Over the last 18 hours or so, the media has been abuzz with
news of a leaked memo
from inside the Clinton camp, advising the candidate to skip Iowa to concentrate on New Hampshire and the later states. In response, the aide who wrote the memo is unavailable for comment (and is probably now manning the Clinton headquarters in Fairbanks, Alaska) and the campaign has announced that the candidate has no intention of skipping the first caucus test.
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Clinton
,
Democrats
May 24, 2007
Tote Board Column -- 5/24 -- The Long-Winded, Winding Road
By
webteam
This week's Tote Board column looks back at the last few months and, amidst all the trivia being reported about Campaign 2008, attempts to pick out the three or four unexpected or significant trends that have emerged so far that are likely to remain important. Briefly they are:
The continuing unpopularity of the Iraq War and President Bush;
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Democrats
,
Republicans
,
Tote Board Archive
May 23, 2007
Ads Classified: The Romney Saturation Campaign Continues
By
webteam
Saturating the airwaves of New Hampshire and Iowa almost eight months before a vote is cast. Mitt Romney now
trumpets his record
in Massachusetts. For those who lived under his "stewardship," they will perhaps be surprised to learn that Romney has done the "toughest things" in the "toughest place."
Bashing Massachusetts is a pretty dumb tactic, even in New Hampshire.
Post a comment
Ads Classified
,
Republicans
,
Romney
May 23, 2007
Ads Classified: New Dodd Ad Up in NH and Edwards Runs Ad, Oddly, in Eugene, Oregon
By
webteam
The ads are beginning to multiply very early in the campaign. Chris Dodd, looking for a breakthrough, touts his Iraq and global warming credentials in a NH foray,
available here
. Claiming that Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton have followed his lead in ending the Iraq War, he says that his global warming plan has the blessing of Al Gore and Bill Bradley and challenges the other candidates to follow his leadership on this issue too.
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Ads Classified
,
Democrats
,
Dodd
May 22, 2007
Ads Classified: With His Finger In the Wind, Romney Tackles Immigration
By
webteam
On the air yet again,
seen here
, Mitt Romney has dived into the immigration debate, with a "firm" stance against amnesty for illegals. "Secure Our Borders," the ad is apparently titled, which is the kind of Romney platitude that will find few opponents. Still, the ad will keep his name out there and will ally the Romney campaign with the energy being generated by opponents of the Congressional immigration compromise.
Post a comment
Ads Classified
,
McCain
,
Republicans
May 21, 2007
New Des Moines Register Poll: Great News for Romney; Good News for Edwards and Obama; Bad News for Giuliani and Hillary
By
webteam
It's only one poll and it's still very early. But
the latest Des Moines Register poll of likely caucus goers
reveals that voters in the first state may be thinking of turning the race upside down.
On the GOP side, Mitt Romney has jumped to a double-digit lead in Iowa. If that were to hold, Romney would be the odds-on favorite to win the New Hampshire primary the following week.
Post a comment
Clinton
,
Democrats
,
Edwards
May 18, 2007
Ads Classified: Now Dodd Joins the Fray
By
webteam
Yet another second-tier Democratic candidate
is on the air in Iowa
. This time, it's Chris Dodd, with an approach similar to John Edwards, as he speaks out against the Iraq War.
The problem for Dodd is that the ad, which just features himself talking, isn't all that memorable. And, this is ground already staked out more effectively by the Edwards campaign in its earlier ad.
Post a comment
Ads Classified
,
Democrats
,
Dodd
May 17, 2007
Tote Board Column -- 5/17 -- Size Doesn't Matter
By
webteam
This week's
Tote Board column
looks at the first four contests of the 2008 calendar for the Democrats in Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, and South Carolina, and concludes that the early tests favor Hillary Clinton and disadvantage Barack Obama.
Post a comment
Clinton
,
Democrats
,
Edwards
May 16, 2007
SC GOP Debate Analysis: A Good Night for the Front-Runners, Especially Giuliani
By
webteam
After only two debates, the GOP contests may be forming a pattern. No one in the second tier is doing well enough to break out of the pack. Mitt Romney makes a great first impression but at second glance, there's less there than meets the eye. This is a huge disadvantage in a long campaign where a candidate doesn't only need a second act, but a third, fourth, and fifth.
Post a comment
Giuliani
,
Republicans
May 15, 2007
Preview of Tonight's GOP Presidential Debate in South Carolina
By
webteam
The next round in what is already becoming an interminable series of debates occurs tonight on Fox news when the ten GOP contenders gather less than two weeks after their last gathering. Already, the campaigns of the major candidates are complaining that the format favors the lesser-known candidates -- which hurts the party -- and, of course, they're right.
Post a comment
Republicans
May 14, 2007
Newt Gingrich Now Indicates It's Likely He'll Enter the Presidential Race
By
webteam
Give my colleague David Bernstein credit for predicting this all along: Newt Gingrich indicated in an
appearance on Good Morning America
this morning that he's likely to seek the presidency.
Of course, he'll deny that's what he meant in the hours and days ahead. But Gingrich can see the chaos on the GOP side and figures that there's a huge gap -- waiting to be filled by him, naturally.
Post a comment
Gingrich
,
Republicans
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