Broesder on Cicilline's Primary Problem

Brett Broesder, former campaign manager for Attorney General Peter Kilmartin, has an interesting piece over at golocalprov suggesting that Congressman David Cicilline's biggest challenge will come in the Democatic primary, not the general election:

...when it comes to a Republican ousting the incumbent – don’t believe the hype. The Democrat running in CD-1 in 2012 will win. However, what should scare the former Providence mayor’s inner-circle is the far more likely threat of a fellow Democrat beating him in a September 2012 primary.

He then floats the names of former Attorney General Patrick Lynch, still sitting on a sizable war chest, and Treasurer Gina Raimondo, whose got some dough of her own, as possible challengers.

The question, of course, is who actually gets in. Is this the race Lynch wants to run? Does Raimondo step down after two years? And there is also the matter of how many hop in. As I've argued before, a multi-candidate race - in the primary or the general - makes life a lot easier on the incumbent, splitting the anti-Cicilline vote.

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