Q&A #4: Everett Special

"Anonymous" asks via email:

Are you seeing any tea leaves regarding the special election in Everett for Stat Smith's vacant seat?

I assume all elections in Everett are decided by who's counting the votes.

But no, I really don't have a sense -- especially because none of the candidates have had to file any financial reports yet. (Their pre-primary reports are coming fairly soon though.)

I would guess -- and it's just a guess -- that John Hanlon would have enough advantages to win a low-turnout, multi-candidate split primary, but I really don't know if any of the other Democrats has a particularly strong base. I'd be interested to hear from people who know Everett politics about it.