Q&A #6: Mass. Guv Predix

"KC" asks:

Who do you think will win the governor's race? What do you think the final breakdown will be?

For quite some time, I've been saying that it's about a 55% chance that Deval Patrick will win. I'll stick with that -- I still think it could easily go either way, and frankly the only reason I give the edge to Patrick is that I think it's more likely his team will do the right things in the final two weeks than Baker (who should by all rights be ahead by 15 points).

As for the numbers... well, here's my best stab at the moment:

Patrick: 46%

Baker: 43%

Cahill: 9%

Stein: 2%