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  • November 01, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    In my handy-dandy couch-potato's guide to the election, in the current issue of the Boston Phoenix, I gave you 20 key US House races to watch over the course of the evening.

    I'm now going to give you 40 more -- 20 "must-wins" for the Democrats, and 20 "must-wins" for the Republicans.

    The first batch are races that Democrats have expected to win; if any of these go to the GOP -- or even if they remain too close to call long after polls close -- that would indicate a very big night for Republican gains in the House.

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  • October 26, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    A couple of days ago I wrote this about state rep Jeff Perry, who is running for Congress in the Massachusetts 10th District:

    ...what has he ever done that makes him more qualified for office than any Joe Schmoe in the neighborhood with conservative opinions? As best as I can tell, he's had a string of start-and-stop careers, of which I've never heard a single positive story, and then he's been a do-nothing state representative.

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  • October 13, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    In this week's issue of the Boston Phoenix -- in print tomorrow, online now -- I write about Republican hopes of winning US House seats here in Massachusetts. Despite being the home of the Scott Brown phenomenon that launched all the talk of a GOP tsunami, it's not clear that Massachusetts Dems will actually end up losing any of the 10 seats they've held for over a decade.

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  • September 11, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    Let's face facts, my Bay State Republican friends -- including you, Charlie Baker: in the best election cycle you've had in years to topple the Democratic Congressional incumbents, you find yourself three days away from the primaries knowing virtually nothing about your candidates for federal office.

    I'm not talking about their positions on the issues -- which, as I've written before, are problematic enough

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  • August 18, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    Not that I want to support the return of former Speaker Tom DeLay to the public forum, but I'll note that he makes an interesting point about the Democratic Party's national grassroots organization efforts, which he says will mitigate some of the potential for Republican gains in the US House.

    He might be right -- although it remains to be seen how effective that operation proves to be in a year when Democrats seem less enthused than they did in the last two election cycles.

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  • August 16, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    Just before I went on vacation, Diane Black narrowly won the GOP primary in the Tennessee 6th congressional district, making her the very likely successor to retiring Democrat Bart Gordon in that Republican-leaning district. Black thus becomes the first likely female member of the 2011 Republican freshman class. Not quite justifying the whole "Year of the Republican Woman" claims, but hey, it's a start.

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  • June 25, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    Despite a barrage of tough stories questioning his role in strip-search incidents, state representative Jeff Perry holds a 16-point lead over former state treasurer Joe Malone in their GOP primary contest for US Congress, according to an internal poll released by Perry's campaign.

    The poll, conducted by Public Opinion Strategies June 16-17 among Republican primary voters in the 10th district, where Democrat Bill Delahunt is not running for re-election, shows Perry taking 41 percent to Malone's 25 percent, with a small portion for other candidates and 30 percent undecided.

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  • June 22, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    White men are up against it today in the handful of primaries and runoffs around the country. Let's take a quick tour:

    --Mississippi. One Republican runoff here, between white guy Richard Cook and black guy Bill Marcy for the opportunity to get whupped by black Democrat Bennie Thompson.

    --North Carolina. The headliner here is the Democratic Senate primary runoff between "Cal" Cunningham and Elaine Marshall, with the winner to challenge Richard Burr, one of the few potentially vulnerable Republican incumbents.

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  • June 12, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    Just to follow up on my blog post from yesterday -- no, the special Republican caucus did not select Liz Brown today to replace Congressman Souder on the ballot, in the Indiana 3rd. They picked a guy.

  • June 11, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    I've been keeping you informed on Republican women running for office this year, so I want to make you aware of one whose fate will be decided in an unusual manner tomorrow, Saturday, in Indiana.

    This is the Indiana 3rd district, where the incumbent, Mark Souder, abruptly resigned (admitting infidelity) after winning his primary.

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  • June 07, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    Lots and lots of primaries tomorrow -- then things will slow down for a while, with just a few here and there until they start picking up again in late August.

    There's also some primary run-offs, most notably the one in Arkansas between Blanche Lincoln and Bill Halter. If Halter wins -- which I suspect he will, although polling shows it close -- Lincoln will be the third incumbent US Senator to be denied nomination this year, along with Arlen Specter of Pennsylvania and Bill Bennett of Utah.

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  • June 03, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    Barely a third of likely Democratic primary voters in his district say that Steve Lynch deserves re-election, according to April poll numbers obtained by the Boston Phoenix.

    Lynch, a relatively conservative Democrat, has been criticized by some liberals for voting against the final health care reform bill earlier this year.

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  • June 01, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    Alabama, Mississippi and New Mexico hold their primaries today. The big offices up for grabs are governor in Alabama and New Mexico. In Alabama, Artur Davis seems likely to become the first black Democratic nominee for governor of that state since reconstruction, while three conservatives -- including the notorious former judge Roy Moore -- battle on the Republican side.

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  • May 19, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    Well, we won't have Arlen Specter to kick around anymore. As you probably know, he was defeated in the Pennsylvania Democratic Senate primary; Joe Sestak will now face Republican Pat Toomey in November. In the other marquee races, Rand Paul pounded Trey Grayson in the Kentucky GOP Senate primary, while Jack Conway edged Dan Mongiardo for the Democrats (although it seems Mongiardo may be calling for a recount); Blanche Lincoln failed to reach 50%, and will have to face Bill Halter in a runoff election for the Arkansas Senate nod, with the winner probably going on to lose to Republican John Boozman; and Democrat Mark Critz won easily in the special election to replace Jack Murtha in Congress.

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  • May 18, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    Interesting couple of days on the political scene. Here in Massachusetts, we've got Democratic Governor Deval Patrick denouncing Charlie Baker for negative attack ads run by the Republican Governors Association -- mostly against independent candidate Tim Cahill. Patrick's critics naturally point out that he benefitted from third-party negative attack ads in 2006, which has forced him to parse the difference between the two -- or denounce both (he tried both approaches yesterday).

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