I've been getting poked and prodded by folks about my extreme lateness updating these rankings -- nice to know you care! Sorry for the lengthy delay. I've been a little busy, and these rankings require a huge investment of time and resources; there's a whole team that compiles research, and a devoted data center to run the complex algorithms.
I’ve been doing these rankings every two months
since right after the last Presidential election (here's the last one), and every two months I get a bunch of
messages about how Ron Paul is obviously going to win the GOP nomination, and
how I’m obviously an idiot or part of the vast anti-Paul conspiracy.
I expect those messages to increase in number and self-assurance now,
thanks to Paul’s
first-place finish in the Presidential Straw Poll at the Conservative Political
Action Conference (CPAC).
A couple of updates to my most recent rankings of the GOP's top contenders for the 2012 Presidential nomination:
--Mike Pence (#2) has declined to run for Senate against Evan Bayh, which to me suggests that the whole thing was a ploy to get more public attention among conservatives for his 2012 Presidential ambitions.
Since the start of 2009, I’ve been updating these rankings every two
months. (Most recently here.) I’m going to stick with that schedule for now --
but things are going to really start heating up. After all, we’re just a year
away from Romney, Pawlenty et al declaring their candidacies.
How can I know when they’ll declare? I’ll explain.