On a morning conference call, E-Dubs & Barney Frank tried to convince the media to cover something of substance. Then Scotto said something goofy that lent itself well to jokes, so the Democrats spent all day making jokes about it, and the media covered that.
A lot of people are going to be puzzling over Scott Brown's decision to turn down a proposed debate proposed by Vicki Kennedy, the widow of the legendary previous holder of Brown's US Senate seat; and hosted by the new Edward M. Kennedy Institute for the US Senate and the University of Massachusetts-Boston.
I have a possible answer that I can sum up in three words: The Catholic Church.
Now that all the alternatives have been dispatched, we officially have a five-month heavyweight one-on-one slugfest between Republican US Senator Scott "Scotto" Brown and Democratic challenger Elizabeth "E-Dubs" Warren. I might be the only one using those particular nicknames, but the important thing is that, in a heavily promoted Pay Per View event like this, the contestants need nicknames.
The new Suffolk poll released late last night shows the US Senate race in Massachusetts as effectively dead-even, with Scott Brown at 48% and Elizabeth Warren at 47%. This is a big improvement for Warren over Suffolk's February poll, which had Brown ahead 49%-40%.
I'm going to make two quick arguments here: that the Cherokee-heritage story has helped Warren; and that the poll actually holds some good news for Brown.
Suffolk University is releasing a poll on the Massachusetts US Senate race tomorrow, and I don't think it's a coincidence that the Democratic Senate Campaign Committee (DSCC) just released its own poll, taken May 8-10 of likely voters, showing the race tied, 46%-46%.
The Elizabeth Warren camp tends to think that Suffolk skews to Scott Brown -- they had him ahead 49%-40% in February.
"Jack" goes back to the US Senate race:
Elizabeth Warren is meeting with Bay Staters, face to face, in small and
large groups, at a steady pace. Contrast that with Coakley, who didn't
have the time or inclination to present herself. Also, Brown is tied up
in Washington, for now. Further, Brown is known mostly by
public persona, rather than direct contact with residents/voters.
"KZB," who is clearly a horrible troublemaker, asks:
Call it now -- who wins, Brown or Warren? By how much?
Call it now -- who wins, Brown or Warren? By how much?
Brown by 3 percentage points. But the confidence level on that is low, and the margin of error is high.
--Whether Elizabeth Warren told people she was part Cherokee. I would say that, given how the Cherokee ended up in Oklahoma (google "Trail of Tears"), it's perfectly legitimate for a family to pass along that portion of their heritage. I'm not saying this whole episode makes me think any better of Warren, but I'm not sure what these great questions are that Scott Brown thinks she needs to be answering about it.
Again taking two together; "Neal" asks:
What's next for Gov. Patrick? An Obama appointment (if he wins) to SJC or AG? A run for president in '16?
...while "JohnIAT" asks:
How badly does Scott Brown want to run for President?
On Deval Patrick, I haven't changed my thinking since I wrote about this one year ago this month.
I dunno, I found it a little uncomfortable watching Lil' Timmy Murray joking up a storm about how he drove so recklessly and with such disregard for public safety that he left his car a crumpled mess in a ditch.
But, hey, I've been known to apply humor to almost any political foibles, and everyone knows that the South Boston St.
In this week's issue of the Boston Phoenix -- in print tomorrow, online now -- I write that US Senator Scott Brown will be very difficult to beat this November.
Recent polls have shown him lead Democratic challenger Elizabeth Warren, which seemed to come as a shock to a lot of Massachusetts Democrats and Washington pundits.
In case you haven't seen, a group called Coalition of Americans for Political Equality (CAPE PAC) was running some online ads for Senator Scott Brown, which runs afoul of the agreement between Brown and Elizabeth Warren to discourage third-party advertising in the race. (I believe WCVB broke the story.) The Brown campaign communicated to the PAC their desire to have no third-party ads, and CAPE PAC agreed to stop.
For the editorial in this week's issue of the Boston Phoenix, our crack team of art directors photoshopped an image conveying the idea of US Senator Scott Brown posing as the GOP mascot, an elephant.
The photoillustration they used was not, however, the only one they came up with, as they toiled within the dark, mysterious realms of the Phoenix art department.
It seems that a lot of Massachusetts Democrats are convinced that Senator Scotto has done serious harm to his re-election chances by co-sponsoring a bill that wildly overreacts to the recent birth-control coverage controversy. They might be right, but I'd caution that Brown is no political dummy.
He certainly remembers, for instance, that his special-election campaign got a major boost when Martha Coakley and the Massachusetts Democratic Party went after him on this same basic issue.
[Opening image: Massachusetts State House]Voiceover: Massachusetts is a liberal, Democrat state. It deserves a liberal, Democrat Senator.[fade to black]Voiceover: But two years ago, voters made a mistake....[Image appears on left half of screen: Scott Brown, in barn coat; preferably shaking hands outside Fenway Park in the cold]
[Opening image: Massachusetts State House]
Voiceover: Massachusetts is a liberal, Democrat state. It deserves a liberal, Democrat Senator.
[fade to black]
Voiceover: But two years ago, voters made a mistake....
[Image appears on left half of screen: Scott Brown, in barn coat; preferably shaking hands outside Fenway Park in the cold]