bestnom1000x50
  • June 01, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    "Joey" asks:

    On the InTrade exchange for the 2012 Republican Nomination for President, whose shares are currently undervalued/overvalued in your mind?

    Ecellent question. Rounding off, here are the current Intrade numbers:

    29% Mitt Romney

    19% Tim Pawlenty

    17% Jon Huntsman

    7% Sarah Palin

    6% Michele Bachmann

    Read More

  • May 31, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    This afternoon, to stir up some online enthusiasm over Thursday's big Presidential campaign launch event, Mitt Romney launched a little Twitter hashtag fun. It didn't really go so well.

    From his @MittRomney account, the would-be President Tweeted:

    I believe in America & look forward to sharing my vision with the country.

    Read More

  • May 15, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    Mike Huckabee won't run for President this time around, which is no great surprise. My prediction: he will endorse Tim Pawlenty, either shortly before or shortly after the August 13 Ames Straw Poll.

    I think it's pretty clear he intends to endorse at some point, which makes sense. First of all, doing so -- and going through a period of deciding who to endorse -- plays up the perception of his importance in the party.

    Read More

  • April 18, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    It strikes me as a big deal, in GOP 2012 politics terms, that Tim Pawlenty has come out firmly opposed to Congress raising the debt ceiling. Although he's toyed with the notion before, it's really just in the past few days -- including his speech at Friday's Tea Party rally in Boston -- that Pawlenty has flat-out called for a no vote.

    Read More

  • April 14, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    Visiting New Hampshire today, Mississippi Governor and presumed Presidential candidate Haley Barbour mentioned that he is a huge Red Sox fan. Andrew Cline of the Union-Leader, wary of pandering, asked for details and got Barbour reminiscing about his mother taking him to Sox spring training from his earliest years, and giving him a Red Sox jacket for his 12th birthday.

    Read More

  • April 14, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    In this week's issue of the Boston Phoenix -- in print and online now -- I have articles about Mitt Romney's path to the nomination, and the operatives who will be running the various New Hampshire campaigns. Plus, on the blog, my new rankings of candidates' chances!

    I pegged these articles for this issue a few weeks ago, as signs suggested that Romney would be announcing sometime in mid-April, and I got lucky with his announcement (of a Presidential Exploratory Committee) earlier this week.

    Read More

  • April 13, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    Much has happened in the two months and change since my last rankings, but my Top 3 remains the same: Tim Pawlenty, Haley Barbour, and Mitt Romney.

    I wrote at that time that I could only see realistic chances for five people -- those three, plus John Thune and Rick Perry. Thune has since opted out, and Perry has made very clear that he's not running.

    Read More

  • April 11, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    To the surprise of nobody, Willard Mitt Romney -- aka the Barnstormin' Mormon -- today opened a Presidential Exploratory Committee, which is kind of like becoming an official candidate except without actually disclosing all your donors.

    As it happens, I've just been putting the wraps on a column about Romney for this week's issue of the Boston Phoenix

    Read More

  • March 23, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    After reading Mitt Romney's two-paragraph pledge, on National Review Online, to devote every waking hour as President to fighting the evil menace of health care reform, I have this image of him sometime later this year, late at night, scrawling "Repeal ObamaCare," in Latin, on the side of the White House.

    Reg: If you want to join the People's Front of Judea, you have to really hate the Romans.

    Read More

  • March 19, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    I did not go up to Manchester to see Rudy Giuliani speak last night because, unlike Michele Bachmann who was in the Granite State last weekend, Giuliani is not a serious political entity.

    That's the kind of mockery that should greet Rudy in New Hampshire. So I am really disappointed in my brethren who are reporting on the visit straight.

    Read More

  • March 09, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    One of my little pet peeves during the 2008 Presidential election cycle was the total lack of commentary about John McCain's marital history. McCain dumped his wife for a young, money-loaded hottie with whom he had been having a lengthy affair -- one of multiple affairs, as he has effectively admitted.

    It's not for me to judge, but we always see lots of hand-wringing analysis over the potential political impact of this sort of behavior, especially in a GOP primary, where pundits can ruminate on how this will play with the "family values" crowd.

    Read More

  • March 08, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    The 2012 Presidential campaign officially began last night -- or so claims the folks at the Iowa Faith and Freedom Coalition, which held its Spring Kickoff event with speeches from five wannabes for the GOP nomination. God provided C-SPAN coverage, so I can say that I thought Herman Cain did well; Newt Gingrich, despite having just moved into an "exploratory" Presidential campaign phase, gave a condensed version of his year-old 2010 CPAC speech; Tim Pawlenty did fine, but I think he's trying too hard to yell his way past all the 'too bland' criticism (which I don't think hurts him anyway); Buddy Roemer did a great Zell Miller impersonation; and Rick Santorum started slow but had a terrific riff (probably old, but I hadn't seen it) on being the 'ultra' (as in ideologically extreme) Senator.

    Read More

  • March 02, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    One of the best predictions I made in the last campaign cycle was one I made very early on: that Mitt Romney would not win a nominating contest below the Mason-Dixon Line. Nailed that. And in this cycle I have written that he will essentially need a strategy to get the nomination without the South -- a tough task in today's GOP.

    Read More

  • February 23, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    I don't know exactly what's going on here, but it sure looks like priceless Romney maneuvering.

    Mitt Romney, who is typically solidly anti-union, has not been very vocal in supporting Wisconsin governor Scott Walker. Yes, he did Tweet way back on Friday: "Support @ for doing what's necessary to rein in out-of-control public sector pay and benefits," but that's about it.

    Read More

  • February 14, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    The annual Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) has wrapped up; as usual, I stayed far away but tracked it closely. Some thoughts:

    --It's important to remember that the CPAC crowd is not representative of the broader Republican base, or the conservative movement. It is primarily A) Washington-centric organizations (PACs, 401(c)3s, publishers, etc.

    Read More

< Previous | 1 | 2 | 3 | Next >
ADVERTISEMENT
Related Articles

Romney Rebound?
Boston Phoenix
Romney Rebound?
Published 1/9/2012 by David S. Bernstein
Mitt Romney at the Pinkerton School, NH. Saturday, January 7, 2012. Photo (c) Jeremiah Robinson for the Boston Phoenix. Just before the 2004 New Hampshire...

Bachmann's Convictions
Boston Phoenix
Bachmann's Convictions
Published 12/21/2011 by David S. Bernstein
A quick stipulation: for the purposes of this review, I will pretty much pretend that Core of Conviction, by Michele Bachmann, ends with her 2006...

 Friends' Activity   Popular 
All Blogs
Follow the Phoenix
  • newsletter
  • twitter
  • facebook
  • youtube
  • rss
ADVERTISEMENT
Latest Comments
ADVERTISEMENT
Search Blogs
 
Talking Politics Archives