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  • February 27, 2012
    By David S. Bernstein

    According to the pollsters and pundits, Mitt Romney should win tomorrow's Arizona primary handily, while the Michigan primary looks like a tossup.

    What happens will set the stage for the caucuses in Washington Sunday, and Super Tuesday next week. Romney is expected to win Massachusetts and Vermont, and gets a gimme in Virginia, where only he and Ron Paul are on the ballot.

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  • February 03, 2012
    By David S. Bernstein

    From the Twitters, "AltoidLover" asks:

    Newt clearly isn't going to win the nomination, but how much damage do you think he can do as he stumbles on fueled by superpac?

    That depends a great deal on how long the Adelsons, and/or others, decide they want to prop Newt up. He's not likely to have any momentum-driving victories in the next couple of weeks, so we'll see if the Adelsons want to keep paying for Romney-bashing ads in Super-Tuesday states and beyond, or just pack it in.

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  • January 09, 2012
    By David S. Bernstein

    A couple of weeks ago I asked readers to send in their best Newt Gingrich-style answer to the journalistic question: "We must stop Christmas from coming -- but how?"

    The following have been chosen as our three finalists. Please enjoy them, and comment about which you think should win, and why!

    Thanks to all who entered -- and to Newt himself, without whom none of this would have been possible, or nearly as much fun.

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  • December 06, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    With Newt Gingrich surging in the polls, I thought I'd reach back to something I wrote in June 2009. With Sarah Palin resigning as Alaska Governor, I wrote a feature article about the movement conservative marketplace she was entering.

    ...if she's looking for a model of success, she would do well to study at the feet of the master: former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich.

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  • July 06, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    According to reports, Mitt Romney will report raising $18.25 million since officially launching his Presidential campaign in early April. This is way ahead of the rest of the field: Tim Pawlenty, Ron Paul, and Jon Huntsman have each claimed a little over $4 million, while Herman Cain and Newt Gingrich say they're in the $2 to $2.

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  • June 01, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    "Joey" asks:

    On the InTrade exchange for the 2012 Republican Nomination for President, whose shares are currently undervalued/overvalued in your mind?

    Ecellent question. Rounding off, here are the current Intrade numbers:

    29% Mitt Romney

    19% Tim Pawlenty

    17% Jon Huntsman

    7% Sarah Palin

    6% Michele Bachmann

    Read More

  • May 31, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    This afternoon, to stir up some online enthusiasm over Thursday's big Presidential campaign launch event, Mitt Romney launched a little Twitter hashtag fun. It didn't really go so well.

    From his @MittRomney account, the would-be President Tweeted:

    I believe in America & look forward to sharing my vision with the country.

    Read More

  • March 09, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    One of my little pet peeves during the 2008 Presidential election cycle was the total lack of commentary about John McCain's marital history. McCain dumped his wife for a young, money-loaded hottie with whom he had been having a lengthy affair -- one of multiple affairs, as he has effectively admitted.

    It's not for me to judge, but we always see lots of hand-wringing analysis over the potential political impact of this sort of behavior, especially in a GOP primary, where pundits can ruminate on how this will play with the "family values" crowd.

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  • February 02, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    In the new issue of the Boston Phoenix – in print tomorrow, online now – I provide my first in-print rankings of the 2012 GOP Presidential candidates’ chances. You can read that here: The GOP’s Top Dog? It’s T-Paw, Not Mitt.

    But that only has room for the Top 10, and my blog readers know that I’ve been ranking the Top 25 for over two years now.

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  • January 26, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    In this week's issue of the Boston Phoenix -- in print tomorrow, online now -- I look at a new movement that might, finally, make real criminal-justice reform politically feasible. That movement is coming from die-hard movement conservatives.

    Sure, Newt Gingrich, Grover Norquist, and the Concerned Women for America are coming at the issue from a different perspective than the generally liberal long-time advocates.

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  • January 07, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein


    Michele Bachmann

    David S. Bernstein: I invited you to have this email conversation about the 2012 GOP Presidential campaign because you and I both follow politics, but from different angles. I, of course, am an award-winning journalist for the Boston Phoenix. You are a political scientist in San Antonio with a PhD from UCal-Berkeley, who blogs at plainblogaboutpolitics.


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  • January 03, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    I've been doing these rankings for two years now, starting on the final day of 2008. Looking back at that first list, seemingly so early in the cycle for speculation, what's remarkable to me is how little things have changed since then.

    Sure, a few have dropped off the list -- Mark Sanford, most notably, as well as his fellow adulterer John Ensign; also Kay Bailey Hutchison and Charlie Crist, both of whom got humiliatingly rejected by conservatives in their home states this year; and a few of my thinking-outside-the-box names like Bill Frist and Tom Ridge.

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  • December 28, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    It turns out, you can be pretty snarky in 140 characters. I've been on Twitter for a couple of years now (follow me at twitter.com/dbernstein), and use it for a variety of purposes: breaking bits of political news; passing along news or commentary of interest; linking to my articles and blog posts; offering brief observations and commentary; interacting with readers and political junkies; and of course, cracking humorous one-liners.

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  • December 20, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    A year ago, I wrote about the best-selling conservative books of 2009 (article here, reviews here). I suggested that Obama's victory had been great for what I call the "movement conservative marketplace," helping produce a record number of top sellers.

    I have also argued that anybody interested in following Republican politics -- including the likely actions of the coming GOP-controlled House of Representatives, and the 2012 Presidential nomination process -- needs to keep abreast of what's in the top-selling conservative books, as well as what's being said on conservative talk radio, television, web sites, and elsewhere.

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  • September 20, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    With the completion of the 2010 primaries, and the latest 2012 meat-market (the Values Voters Conference), now's a good time to update my rankings of the 25 most likely 2012 Republican Presidential nominees!

    Note that two of my dark horses, Mike Pence and Jim DeMint, have gotten big recent boosts. Pence won the VVC straw poll this weekend, and DeMint has emerged as the hero of what we might call the "Christine O'Donnell wing" of the party.

    Read More

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