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  • September 20, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    With the completion of the 2010 primaries, and the latest 2012 meat-market (the Values Voters Conference), now's a good time to update my rankings of the 25 most likely 2012 Republican Presidential nominees!

    Note that two of my dark horses, Mike Pence and Jim DeMint, have gotten big recent boosts. Pence won the VVC straw poll this weekend, and DeMint has emerged as the hero of what we might call the "Christine O'Donnell wing" of the party.

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  • July 30, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    Mitt Romney was once supportive of Kennedy-McCain style comprehensive immigration reform, but that was way back in 2005. By 2007, when he was running to the right of John McCain in the Republican Presidential primaries, Romney had made his opposition to reform a centerpiece of his campaign, blasting McCain over it in debates, and running harsh ads on the issue.

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  • June 24, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    I just thought this was kinda funny. Republican state rep. Karyn Polito's campaign for state treasurer sent out a "Press Advisory" yesterday morning touting this:

    Former Massachusetts Governors Mitt Romney and Paul Cellucci will hold a press availability with State Treasurer candidate Karyn Polito prior to a fundraising event today, June 23 at 5:15 p.

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  • June 10, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    I've been getting poked and prodded by folks about my extreme lateness updating these rankings -- nice to know you care! Sorry for the lengthy delay. I've been a little busy, and these rankings require a huge investment of time and resources; there's a whole team that compiles research, and a devoted data center to run the complex algorithms.

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  • April 15, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    A couple of month ago I suggested that Mitt Romney may be plotting a path to the 2012 GOP Presidential nomination that avoids the South, where he has little chance of winning -- or more broadly, what I've called a "Bllue State strategy." My circumstantial evidence included his book tour, which included very few stops in Southern states; his decision to skip the Southern Republican Leadership Conference; and his PAC, which in 2009 contributed mostly to candidates in blue states outside the South.

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  • March 01, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    I’ve been doing these rankings every two months since right after the last Presidential election (here's the last one), and every two months I get a bunch of messages about how Ron Paul is obviously going to win the GOP nomination, and how I’m obviously an idiot or part of the vast anti-Paul conspiracy.

    I expect those messages to increase in number and self-assurance now, thanks to Paul’s first-place finish in the Presidential Straw Poll at the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC).

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  • February 22, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    I didn't mention the praise of Toyota in my review of Mitt Romney's new book, because it's really an unfair pot-shot... but that's what blogs are for, right?

    Anyway, I now have the final actual version of "No Apology," instead of the advance proof I had before, and it's still in here (p.105-106), so here it is:

    In the auto world, Toyota innovated what we now call "quality manufacturing" -- placing such consistent attention to each detail at every step of the manufacturing process that flaws and rejects virtually disappeared.

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  • February 18, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    Mitt Romney just gave his speech at the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC), which started today; I've been watching livestreaming, and also have a copy of Romney's speech. As I have suggested, his emphasis is now entirely on foreign-policy and economic issues (and how to strengthen America, rather than weaken it as Obama is doing, in his view).

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  • February 18, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    --Isn't it interesting that doemstic terrorist Amy Bishop was a graduate student at HARVARD in the early 1990s, just as known terrorist pal BARACK HUSSEIN OBAMA was finishing at Harvard Law School? And that Bishop may have sent a PIPE BOMB at roughly the same time that domestic terrorist bomb-maker BILL AYERS was launching Obama's political career? What is the CONNECTION BETWEEN OBAMA, BISHOP, AND AYERS? Why isn't the mainstream media asking these important questions? And why has OBAMA REFUSED TO EXPLAIN HIS RELATIONSHIP WITH AMY BISHOP? And most importantly, why haven't I received any emails from rabid Obama-haters DEMANDING ANSWERS TO THESE QUESTIONS?

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  • February 12, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    As you may know, a couple of weeks before the 2008 Iowa caucuses I broke a story refuting Mitt Romney's claim that his father had marched with Martin Luther King Jr. That story ended up getting huge national attention, and perhaps hurt Romney in his quest for the nomination.

    My current feature about Mitt Romney, suggesting that he is re-launching himself as a slightly different candidate for 2012, has also gotten a fair amount of national attention.

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  • February 10, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    In this week's issue of the Boston Phoenix -- in print tomorrow, online now -- I have my first big "Romney 2012" feature of the cycle. Too soon? It's never too soon!

    In the piece I suggest that Romney is using the publishing of his new book (my review of which will be online later today Update: is online now!!!) to relaunch himself for the 2012 Presidential nomination campaign.

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  • February 09, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    "I believe that climate change is occurring -- the reduction in the size of global ice caps is hard to ignore. I also believe that human activity is a contributing factor."

    So writes Massachusetts's last Republican Governor, Mitt Romney, in his upcoming book (an advance proof of which I got my hands on today).

    That's after Romney abandoned his relatively moderate Masssachusetts political persona, and veered rightward for a national GOP audience.

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  • January 26, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    A couple of updates to my most recent rankings of the GOP's top contenders for the 2012 Presidential nomination:

    --Mike Pence (#2) has declined to run for Senate against Evan Bayh, which to me suggests that the whole thing was a ploy to get more public attention among conservatives for his 2012 Presidential ambitions.

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  • January 12, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    Since the start of 2009, I’ve been updating these rankings every two months. (Most recently here.) I’m going to stick with that schedule for now -- but things are going to really start heating up. After all, we’re just a year away from Romney, Pawlenty et al declaring their candidacies.

    How can I know when they’ll declare? I’ll explain.

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  • January 09, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    A while back I told you about this interesting race:

    ...there's a congressional race out in California that some of you might want to take a look at. It's the 45th District, where Mary Bono-Mack has long held the seat that she took over when her famous husband died. Steve Pougnet, the Democratic Mayor of Palm Springs (Sonny's launching pad to the congressional seat) is running against her.

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