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  • February 02, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    In the new issue of the Boston Phoenix – in print tomorrow, online now – I provide my first in-print rankings of the 2012 GOP Presidential candidates’ chances. You can read that here: The GOP’s Top Dog? It’s T-Paw, Not Mitt.

    But that only has room for the Top 10, and my blog readers know that I’ve been ranking the Top 25 for over two years now.

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  • February 02, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    The sliver of humanity who care about such things are currently fascinated by the resignation of US Ambassador to China Jon Huntsman, apparently to pursue a campaign for the Republican Presidential nomination.

    The conversation has mostly centered around the question of why in God's name Huntsman would run, when his relatively moderate positions, combined with his late start and other factors, would seem to make his quest rather quixotic.

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  • February 02, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    OK, I have not yet grabbed the new paperback edition of Mitt Romney's "No Apology," since I have the hardcover (which I reviewed last February along with my analysis of his 2012 remake) and I could read the new introduction online.

    But now I'm going to have to get the paperback, so I can go through and see if he's altered the text from the original.

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  • January 27, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    There's a spate of headlines zipping around the national politicojournosphere that Mitt Romney is considering "skipping" the Iowa caucuses in his quest for the 2012 campaign.

    I am writing to ask my fellow journos and pundits, wherever they may be, to resist echoing the ridiculous verb "skip" in discussing this. If Romney spends less of his resources on Iowa this time (as I have long suggested he will), it will be because he believes he can't win there, and doesn't want to be seen as trying and losing.

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  • January 21, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    "Mat Helman" asks a lengthy multiple-choice question; I will address each potential answer as they are presented:

    Among the GOP Presidential contenders, which personal life blemish would have the biggest negative impact on: A) GOP primary voters, and B) general election voters:

    1) Former MA Gov. Mitt Romney strapping his dog to the roof of his car for a drive to Canada.

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  • January 12, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    Herman Cain announced his 2012 Presidential exploratory committee formation today, the first (somewhat) significant candidate to do so.

    Most importantly, this forces polijournos like me to decide between "Is Cain Able?" "Yes He Cain?" "A Cain Mutiny in GOP?" "Raising Cain" and "Cain-Do Spirit" for our headlines.

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  • January 07, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein


    Michele Bachmann

    David S. Bernstein: I invited you to have this email conversation about the 2012 GOP Presidential campaign because you and I both follow politics, but from different angles. I, of course, am an award-winning journalist for the Boston Phoenix. You are a political scientist in San Antonio with a PhD from UCal-Berkeley, who blogs at plainblogaboutpolitics.


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  • January 03, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    I've been doing these rankings for two years now, starting on the final day of 2008. Looking back at that first list, seemingly so early in the cycle for speculation, what's remarkable to me is how little things have changed since then.

    Sure, a few have dropped off the list -- Mark Sanford, most notably, as well as his fellow adulterer John Ensign; also Kay Bailey Hutchison and Charlie Crist, both of whom got humiliatingly rejected by conservatives in their home states this year; and a few of my thinking-outside-the-box names like Bill Frist and Tom Ridge.

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  • December 28, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    It turns out, you can be pretty snarky in 140 characters. I've been on Twitter for a couple of years now (follow me at twitter.com/dbernstein), and use it for a variety of purposes: breaking bits of political news; passing along news or commentary of interest; linking to my articles and blog posts; offering brief observations and commentary; interacting with readers and political junkies; and of course, cracking humorous one-liners.

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  • December 20, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    A year ago, I wrote about the best-selling conservative books of 2009 (article here, reviews here). I suggested that Obama's victory had been great for what I call the "movement conservative marketplace," helping produce a record number of top sellers.

    I have also argued that anybody interested in following Republican politics -- including the likely actions of the coming GOP-controlled House of Representatives, and the 2012 Presidential nomination process -- needs to keep abreast of what's in the top-selling conservative books, as well as what's being said on conservative talk radio, television, web sites, and elsewhere.

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  • December 14, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    Mitt Romney has an op-ed in today's USA Today, criticizing the big tax deal working its way through Congress. This puts him at odds with Tim Pawlenty and other potential Presidential prospects, who have criticized portions but said that the overall compromise is worth passing. The Senate in fact passed the bill overwhelmingly yesterday; dark-horse ultra-conservative Jim DeMint was one of only five Republicans to vote no; potential Prez challenger Jim Thune of South Dakota voted yes.

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  • November 22, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    Just casting around with the old noggin....

    --As bored political journos and commentators start talking 2012 GOP Presidential chances, we've seen a bunch of back-and-forthing about whether Mitt Romney can lay claim to the critical perception of "next in line" for the nomination, and about just how critical that perception is.

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  • November 12, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    The other day I did my latest rankings of the most likely 2012 GOP Presidential nominees -- an exercise I've been doing roughly every two months since the end of 2008. Now some upstarts have decided to join me with their first rankings of the cycle: Chris "The Fix" Cillizza at WaPo, and the National Journal's Hotline. Also, there's been a fair amount of comment about such rankings.

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  • November 09, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    Pop Quiz: What is Peter Bragdon's phone number?

    Don't have it? Don't know who Peter Bragdon is? Guess you're not a Republican running for President.

    Bragdon will be Senate President following the Republican takeover in New Hampshire this week. Bragdon also chaired the Republican Senate Majority Committee, which helped elect a stunning 19 GOP candidates to the 24 state senate seats.

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  • October 20, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    It's been the Big Question in the 10th District race to replace Bill Delahunt in Congress: would one of the strip-search victims come forward to talk about it? Today, the question was answered.

    In one sense, this doesn't change what has been clear for a very long time: very bad things were done right in front of Perry's nose; his behavior in response to that appears to have been reprehensible; and he has denied wrongdoing while seeming utterly incapable of telling a straight, consistent story to explain it all.

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