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  • July 06, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    According to reports, Mitt Romney will report raising $18.25 million since officially launching his Presidential campaign in early April. This is way ahead of the rest of the field: Tim Pawlenty, Ron Paul, and Jon Huntsman have each claimed a little over $4 million, while Herman Cain and Newt Gingrich say they're in the $2 to $2.

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  • June 14, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    Brad Johnson at Think Progress beat me to the punch, so read it there -- bottom line, Mitt Romney came out decisively last night against providing federal disaster relief funds, saying it adds to the national deficit.

    As governor, of course, Romney lobbied for, and received, such funds on several occasions, including the February 2005 blilzzard, October 2005 flooding, and May 2006 flooding.

  • June 14, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    Man, you could just feel the stupid last night, at the GOP Presidential debate up in Manchester, New Hampshire. The idiocy, the closed-information-loop spiral of nonsense reinforcing nonsense.

    No, I'm not talking about the candidates; I'm talking about the media punditocracy.

    Everywhere you look and listen, you're being told that the candidates, particularly Tim Pawlenty, ruined themselves by not attacking Mitt Romney last night.

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  • June 08, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein
    Hermetically sealed Presidential candidate Mitt Romney has briefly emerged for a round of media appearances, as part of his official campaign launch, before returning to the vault like one of those classic Disney movies.Romney says that to avoid over-exposure, he will be in “quiet” campaign mode until after Labor Day.

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  • June 03, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    Mitt Romney threw a great political bash yesterday, in Stratham, New Hampshire, to "officially" launch his 2012 Presidential campaign. He and his team do this stuff right. They held it on a lovely farm owned by Republican donors, located conveniently for both local and DC media to get to, got two or three hundred people to show, served chili, and put Romney up in ready-for-video staging with a speech loaded with bite-sized remarks.

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  • June 02, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    I attended Mitt Romney's fine campaign-launch event today, and am still putting together a write-up about it, but I want to jump in and scream yet again that any discussion you see or hear about Mitt Romney's chances to win the GOP nomination -- no matter how intelligent and insightful that discussion may be -- that doesn't include the word "abortion" is doomed analysis.

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  • June 01, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    One if by land, two if by sea, and Tweet if by I-84 to the Mass. Pike. Yes, amid horrible storms Sarah Palin and her "One Nation" family bus tour have entered the great Commonwealth of Massachusetts.

    Nico Hines, a New York Times reporter sent to follow this leg of Palinpalooza, last Tweeted that he and the bus were on I-90 passing through Worcester.

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  • June 01, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    "Joey" asks:

    On the InTrade exchange for the 2012 Republican Nomination for President, whose shares are currently undervalued/overvalued in your mind?

    Ecellent question. Rounding off, here are the current Intrade numbers:

    29% Mitt Romney

    19% Tim Pawlenty

    17% Jon Huntsman

    7% Sarah Palin

    6% Michele Bachmann

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  • May 31, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    This afternoon, to stir up some online enthusiasm over Thursday's big Presidential campaign launch event, Mitt Romney launched a little Twitter hashtag fun. It didn't really go so well.

    From his @MittRomney account, the would-be President Tweeted:

    I believe in America & look forward to sharing my vision with the country.

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  • May 30, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    The Romney campaign wakes up today to find two in-depth, balanced, historical overviews of his creation of the Massachusetts health care reform plan, written by top-notch journalists: Brian Mooney in the Boston Globe and Ryan Lizza in the New Yorker.

    Hard to say whether this helps or hurts him, but it certainly gives the staff something to read over breakfast.

  • May 25, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    Maintaining consistent policy positions when running for President is really, really hard. Seriously. Sure, it's tempting to paraphrase the old line about truthfulness vs. lying, and say that you never need to remember what positions you've taken, if you always just say what you believe. But it's not that simple.

    Not only do times and events change, and new information or evidence appears, but there are political realities.

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  • May 15, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    Mike Huckabee won't run for President this time around, which is no great surprise. My prediction: he will endorse Tim Pawlenty, either shortly before or shortly after the August 13 Ames Straw Poll.

    I think it's pretty clear he intends to endorse at some point, which makes sense. First of all, doing so -- and going through a period of deciding who to endorse -- plays up the perception of his importance in the party.

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  • May 12, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    I'm having trouble wrapping my head around the strategic thinking behind the decision to put Mitt Romney out front on the health care issue, by having him give a hyped-up, self described "important" speech on the topic this afternoon in Ann Arbor, Michigan. There must be a strategy, whether I think it's wise or not -- this campaign does nothing without careful deliberation.

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  • May 11, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    Mitt Romney has a new op-ed in USA Today outlining the health care plan he'll talk about in his big speech tomorrow, and I have one question. Well, more than one, but here's one.

    Here is "Step 2" of Romney's plan:

    Reform the tax code to promote the individual ownership of health insurance. The tax code offers open-ended subsidies for the purchase of insurance through employers.

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  • May 11, 2011
    By David S. Bernstein

    Our former governor, the once and future Presidential candidate, has decided to take the bold step of giving a big, self-promoted "important" speech on health care tomorrow. This has pretty predictably prompted a lightning-round of "haul out yer Romney clips."

    Our lovable local liberal bloggers Blue Mass Group came up with a good one, if dated: Mitt backing federally mandated health coverage back in his 1994 US Senate campaign.

    Read More

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