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  • January 19, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    As of 9:00am, 23,667 people had voted in Boston. That's about 30% ahead of the 18,399 who had voted by 9:00 for November's Mayoral election.

    That would project to be about 140,000 voters, or roughly 40% turnout in Boston.

    Secretary of State Bill Galvin is predicting roughly 40% turnout statewide.

    Boston often votes at a lower rate than the state as a whole.

    Read More

  • January 18, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    Polls are open from 7:00am to 8:00pm tomorrow, and all that time political junkies will be looking to people like me to give them something to satisfy their need to know WHAT'S HAPPENING?!?!?!?

    I'll do my best, as always, to provide what I can -- here, on Facebook, and on Twitter (@dbernstein).

    I'll also be all over the airwaves.

    Read More

  • January 18, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    It's well-known that weathermen -- particularly New England weathermen -- are the only group of pundits who get away with being wrong more consistently than political pundits.

    Ten days ago they said election Tuesday would be sunny and calm. Pfft. Now they're saying things like "wintry mix" -- which itself seems like a wishy-washy prediction that really means: "Something's gonna happen, but hell if I know what."

    Read More

  • January 17, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    Earlier today, two news reports said that someone called out "shove a curling iron up her butt" (refering to Coakley) at Brown's rally in Worcester. This video appears to show Scott Brown pause, & give a little nod and laugh, in response to that being shouted out.

    See for yourself:

  • January 17, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    My comments on some things flappin' around...

    --Kudos to the boys at Blue Mass Group for digging up the clip of Scott Brown suggesting that Obama may have been born out of wedlock. I don't know that it puts Brown into the 'birther' category; I just think it makes him boorish, obnoxious, and disrespectful. Uncool.

    --Bear in mind that pretty much all the polling you've seen has been based on voter-turnout assumptions that almost certainly no longer apply, now that the race has attained total public-consciousness saturation.

    Read More

  • January 14, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    --Yesterday afternoon, Massachusetts's two current US Senators, John Kerry and Paul Kirk, led several others in sending a letter to President Obama urging him to grant Temporary Protected Status to Haitians currently living illegally in the US, in light of the earthquake's devastation. I asked both the Coakley and Brown campaigns whether the candidates support this position.

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  • January 14, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    A lot has been made recently in the US Senate race about Scott Brown's 2005 "conscience clause" amendment; Yvonne Abrahams does a nice job on it in today's Boston Globe, Janet Wu hit him the other night on WCVB-TV, and of course Martha Coakley ran an ad mentioning it while showing a cowering rape victim in a stairwell. Brown's daughters, in response, held a press conference and recorded a radio ad defending their father against the charge.

    Read More

  • January 13, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    In this week's issue of the Boston Phoenix -- in print tomorrow, online now -- I take a look at recent developments in the Massachusetts gubernatorial race. With the special US Senate election campaign about to end, the guv campaign is starting to come out of its long hibernation. Charlie Baker has used the downtime to pile up some dough; Christy Mihos seems to be readying a populist-conservative assault on Baker; and Tim Cahill.

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  • January 12, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    Finally! Something interesting going on in the US Senate race.

    Not the candidates -- they're fine, but not very interesting. You can't get much more diametrically opposed than Coakley and Brown, so I can't imagine there are many truly undecided voters. That is, people who care enough to show up to vote next Tuesday, but not enough to have already formed a preference between the check-the-boxes liberal and the check-the-boxes conservative.

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  • January 11, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    Unsurprisingly, the Boston Herald has endorsed Scott Brown. As they should. But I have to admit to being a little taken aback by the editorial (which just went online), which loads up on hyperventilating conservative talking points, complete with lots of liberal-agenda things "in quotes." Here's a sampling:

    ....

    Read More

  • January 07, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    A new TV ad apparently debuted today, praising Scott Brown and criticizing Martha Coakley -- who, according to the ad (which I was forwarded) "supports massive new spending and the tax increases to pay for it." This is the first third-party TV ad I'm aware of in the Senate race.

    The ad was paid for by American Future Fund, which is an advocacy organization that launched last year, and which I have mentioned before on this blog -- mostly because of its Mitt Romney connections.

    Read More

  • January 05, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    As you may have heard, a new Rasmussen poll has Scott Brown down by only 9 points to Martha Coakley, 50%-41%, which has some folks saying it's a closer race than expected with exactly two weeks to go.

    I tend to be skeptical of Rasmussen polls -- which is exactly what I said when reporting the poll they released exactly two weeks before the primary.

    Read More

  • December 11, 2009
    By David S. Bernstein

    "Tom G" asks:

    When will the press start asking Martha Coakley about her position on the civil rights, government authority and rule of law questions raised by the Bush Presidency. Just because Scott Brown wants to make the race about taxes shouldn't dumb down the press.

    I don't know that they'll ask about those particular issues; frankly, the Presidential abuse-of-power issues are probably not on most voters' minds right now.

    Read More

  • December 11, 2009
    By David S. Bernstein

    "Rob" asks:

    What, if anything, does Scott Brown need to do and need to happen to beat Coakley in January?

    I saw this Star Trek episode once, where a rift in the space-time continuum froze everybody motionless within a certain area, while time kept moving forward outside of that rift. If that happens, leaving only the greater Wrentham area unaffected, Brown's got a chance.

    Read More

  • December 08, 2009
    By David S. Bernstein

    I've got little or nothing useful to tell you at this stage of the game (so, if you're hoping to be the next AG, just keep your britches cool for a while). Boston looks like it's going to have lower turnout than the Mayoral primary, probably a little under 20%. Somerville -- Capuano's home base -- looks a little higher. The rest of the state is low, low, low, from what I'm hearing.

    Read More

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