• December 11, 2009
    By David S. Bernstein

    "Frank" asks:

    What do you think of Cahill's chances in the 2010 Gov's race? Can he position himself as a more-credible alternative to Patrick than Baker/Mihos, or is Massachusetts just not ready for a 3rd party candidate?

    I am highly skeptical that Cahill can win. But for the moment, he is keeping himself very credible, and solid in polls.

    Read More

  • October 02, 2009
    By David S. Bernstein

    "Joel" asks:

    How many seats (if any) will the Mass GOP pick up in the legislature in 2010?

    That is a great question. Quick wild-guess prediction: they gain one in the senate, and five in the house. In other words, not a huge comeback, but at least a step in the right direction.

    They should gain a lot more, of course. The state is overflowing with disgust for the politicians under the golden dome -- which I don't think is based much on party, but the fact is the incumbents are all Democrats, so anti-incumbent mood has the same effect.

    Read More

  • September 24, 2009
    By David S. Bernstein

    --On September 1st, I predicted on Twitter and Facebook that Paul Kirk would be the temporary Senate appointee -- I believe I was the first to publicly float his name for it. The next day a Boston Phoenix editorial advocating Kirk for the position went online. (To the best of my knowledge, that was also the first place where the point was made that Kennedy's staff had ceased its constituent-services work, and a temporary appointment would allow them to re-start it.

    Read More

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