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  • September 08, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    This morning, on Good Morning America, GOP House Minority Leader John Boehner outlined Congressional Republicans' prescription for the economy. It consisted of tax cuts and lowered spending, with heavy emphasis on the importance of cutting government spending to reduce the budget deficit. Boehner also said that the single biggest impediment to economic growth is "uncertainty facing small businesses" caused by the taxes and health care costs threatened by Democrats in Washington.

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  • September 08, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    I thought Tim Cahill did very well in last night's debate -- partly for the very reason that the Globe and Herald gave as his detriment, which was that he laid low during the most heated exchanges between Deval Patrick and Charlie Baker. One of Cahill's strategies in this campaign is to take advantage of the classic political formula: Candidate A attacks Candidate B = advantage for Candidate C.

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  • September 07, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    OK, all of us Bay State pundits and analysts got to take it easy since Memorial Day, by responding to every question about the governor's race with the same answer: "Nobody pays attention until Labor Day." Trite, but essentially true -- and indeed the dynamic of the race seems essentially unchanged since Spring. But, now that Labor Day is behind us, and we have a televised debate tonight kicking off the 7-week race to election day, I should really do the obligatory 'where things stand' analysis.

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  • September 03, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    I hope you're enjoying "Ask Me Anything Day" as much as I am!

    "CoCoBelle" asks:

    Do you think Deval Patrick will be re-elected in November? What are the chances of Cahill dropping out of the race?

    I think Patrick is a slight favorite to win -- maybe a 55% likelihood. The good news for Patrick is that he's still leading in the polls without yet spending any real money (or having any spent on his behalf).

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  • September 03, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    "North Shore Politico" asks:

    Any predictions on the 9th Essex House and Middlesex and Essex Senate primaries?

    Also, for fun, what do you think Bill Hudak's percentage will be in the 6th GOP House primary? Will Charlie Baker and Richard Tisei vote for him on September 14th?

    Boy oh boy, my crystal ball is getting a workout today.

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  • August 19, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    In this week's issue of the Boston Phoenix -- in print and online now -- I have a short take on Monday afternoon's gubernatorial debate. I suggest that Charlie Baker is showing improvement as a candidate, but still has a ways to go to catch up with Deval Patrick and his team.

    Read it here: Baker's Learning Curve

  • August 18, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    Oh, Charlie, Charlie, Charlie....

    Scot Lehigh followed up with Republican gubernatorial candidate Charlie Baker the other day about his appearance at a Bill Hudak event, figuring that he's now had enough time, since I wrote about it, and since Scot first asked him about it, to have forged a serious response.

    I can't say that his response strikes me as very serious:

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  • August 16, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    Way, way, back last November, I blogged that...

    ...there is a realistic, if slim, possibility that Democrats could hold all six New England governorships come January 2011. According to my extensive research -- OK, scrolling through Wikipedia, mostly -- I believe this would be the first time that has happened ever, in the 200+ years of the party (including when it was called the Democratic-Republican Party).

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  • August 16, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    I've been on vacation for the past week, but I'm back and ready to offer my two cents on things swirling around the local political scene.

    --Charlie Baker's campaign put out an optimistic top-page pollster memo, from a two-week-old poll showing the same thing other polls from that time showed: Deval Patrick ahead by about 7 points, with Tim Cahill's support refusing to die.

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  • August 05, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    Bill Hudak, Republican congressional candidate in John Tierney's district, has not been universally embraced by mainstream Massachusetts Republicans -- in fact, when Hudak announced that Scott Brown had endorsed him, Brown quickly denied it and forced a retraction.

    That cold shoulder is due to some rather disturbing and, some might say, nutty opinions Hudak has expressed, such as once suggesting to journalists that he had documentation proving that Barack Obama was born in Kenya.

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  • August 05, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    In this week's issue of the Boston Phoenix -- online and in print now -- I write about the end of the Massachusetts legislative session last week, which of course was dominated by the ultimately failed attempt (at least, as of this writing) to pass an expanded gaming bill.

    I suggest that those with the most experience at working in these kinds of high-stakes Beacon Hill showdowns were the ones who fared best: senate president Therese Murray most notably, but to some degree Governor Deval Patrick and Treasurer/gubernatorial candidate Tim Cahill as well.

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  • July 31, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    Governor Deval Patrick has pushed for three casinos, but opposed slots at race tracks.

    His Republican challenger, Charlie Baker, supports one casino, to test the waters.

    Independent candidate Tim Cahill supports casinos and racinos.

    The legislature has crafted a bill with casinos and racinos. Let's assume it passes, and Patrick vetoes it.

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  • July 26, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    A new Rasmussen poll for FOX25 has the race for governor essentially unchanged since a month ago. Patrick leads Baker 38% - 32%, compared to 41%-34% in June, while Cahill ticked up from 16% to 17%, and undecided rose from 9% to 12%. (The poll doesn't include Jill Stein.)

    That gibes with what I've heard about recent internal polling by a couple of the campaigns.

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  • July 20, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    As you know, I love everybody.

    And I usually don't like to complain about anything that causes a good political scuffle. But for cripes sakes, when you get handed a policy difference please understand that you can either have a policy debate, or you can accuse someone of corruption. When you do the latter -- when you ask the Attorney General to investigate, for example -- you kinda toss the policy debate out the window.

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  • July 14, 2010
    By David S. Bernstein

    It used to be, when media reports referred to transgender equality legislation as the "bathroom bill," I could rant about the journalistic irresponsibility. And we all feel good when we can feel morally superior to people in the news media.

    I suspect we'll be seeing that phrase a lot today -- here it is this morning, slapped into the headline of an AP story by bostonchannel.

    Read More

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