Assuming Tisei wins over Tierney, what D's are well positioned to challenge him in 2014?
This is a GREAT question. I hope some North Shore readers chime in with thoughts. (Although the answer is probably "none.")
Looking at state senators: two of those seats will have first-term senators; another has a Republican.
Do you see the Democratic Party (national or state) forgiving Martha
Coakley and lining up behind her if she decides to run for governor or
the Senate, or is there still going to be bitterness?
Bitterness. Much, much bitterness.
Huge, steaming piles of bitterness.
I'm actually a little surprised how much, but yeah I ask about this a lot and I get a lot of very unfavorable comments, from party insider/activist types, about the prospects of a Martha Coakley gubernatorial run.
What do you foresee Bill Weld's future in Mass. politics being (if any) now that he is moving back to Massachusetts?
It's true; Weld is moving back, to work at a Boston law firm, and of course there is instant speculation that he is planning to run for his old job back. Personally, I find it more likely that he could run for US Senate if Kerry leaves (it's too much to ask for a re-match, much as I'd love it), but honestly my guess is that we're not going to see his name on a ballot again.
Bundling questions again. "Nate" asks:
Win or lose this time around, who replaces Senate President Murray?
We have several Senators getting up there in years (what else is new).
Off the top of my head, Jehlen, R. Moore sem to no longer be long for
their seats. Thoughts on replacements for these two legislators?
After Election Day, who will be the first MA politico to announce their
intentions for the next cycle? Will they wait a decent interval?
I don't get the sense that anybody's ready with a 2014 campaign waiting under a tarp in the garage, ready to take out immediately.
I do hear that a couple of lesser-known gubernatorial prospects are poking around; if they decide to pull the trigger on a run, we'd probably see some open moves shortly after the new year.
I'll take a coupla Scotto Qs together; "Elias Nugator" asks:
If Scott Brown tanks next month, will his wife Gail Huff perhaps consider a political career or her own?
What candidate was hurt more by the Peoples Pledge that Brown/Warren took?
Second question first. I think it's clear that Brown ended up getting hurt more; he needed to do far more to break down Warren's credibility as a candidate, and was forced to do it himself -- and it's not so easy to beat up on your female opponent while simultaneously trying to battle the impression that you (and your party) are insensitive to women's issues.
Happy Ask Me Anything Day! We start with local politics, and a question from "MichaelK":
How do you imagine a John Connolly run for mayor would differ from
Michael Flaherty's? More importantly, why do you think he's chosen this
moment to put himself out there?
Let's start with the second question first. Connolly wants to differentiate himself on education issues, not just from Tom Menino but from all the non-Meninos who he'll be battling when the time comes to pick Menino's successor.
"Boston Bertie" asks:
Enough dancing around. Who's gonna win on Nov 6th in MA Senate? Brown or Warren?
Brown by 3 percentage points. But the confidence level on that is low, and the margin of error is high.
What do you think is going to happen in the Devaney Sheff race for Governor's Council, does Sheff break 40%?
William is refering to District 3, where Independent candidate Thomas Sheff is challenging long-time Governor's Councilor Marilyn Devaney. Devaney survived a primary challenge from two Democrats, who failed to oust her despite her somewhat colorful and controversial career, which occasionally includes hurling small appliances at people.
The answer is no.
Via email, "Conor" asks:
1. David Gregory asked Elizabeth Warren why a woman has never been
elected governor or senator in Massachusetts. In your opinion, what is
2. The great majority of political reporters/commentators covering
the race seem to be men (yourself, Gin Dumcius, Glen Johnson, Noah
Bierman, Michael Levenson, Adam Reilly, Keller, Battenfeld, Braude,
"Andrew," clearly a troublemaker, asks:
What are your current power rankings for Gov in '14? What about Capuano's seat if he runs for Senate or Gov?
I still think Charlie Baker is #1 for 2014, then Martha Coakley, same as I did back in March. Beyond that, I think I'd move Capuano up a few notches, and move Carmen Ortiz down a few, but otherwise that list is still pretty valid.
I think Selvaggi is less a longshot than Bielat due to nature of their
respective districts. Why no press on that race which is a city of
A few reasons I can think of:
--Selvaggi didn't raise a couple million dollars and top 40% of the vote two years ago (as opposed to Bielat);
--Selvaggi's family isn't the most important and entertaining family in the history of the Commonwealth (as opposed to Bielat's opponent);
--Covering Selvaggi requires mention of "Plaster Fun Time."
"Diana Anderson" posed three questions, but I'm going to take on this one for now: "Jesse (not Mermell)" asks: (Sorry, was showing up wrong for some reason before.)
Yesterday you listed all Mass. politicians with "klout" over 50. Most
were either Federal officials/candidates, state constitutional officers
and legislators/candidates, or Boston city councilors.
"Colin Mahoney" starts us off with this:
When, exactly, did U2 jump the shark?
When, exactly, did U2 jump the shark?
Easy: In 1987, with the release of Joshua Tree.
Via email, "Tyler" asks:
How do you think the first-term Republican State Reps elected in
Worcester County will do for re-election this year? Do you think any
will be voted out?
This is a great question, which I'd love to hear some central-Massachusetts readers chime in on.
Correct me if I'm wrong, but there are four of them who face Democratic challengers: Richard Bastien in the 2nd (Jonathan Zlotnik, Dem); Peter Durant in the 6th (Kathleen Walker, Dem); Kevin Kuros in the 8th (Robert DuBois, Dem); and Ryan Fattman in the 18th (Donald Bourque, Dem).