bestnom1000x50
  • November 04, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    With the '08 election barely in the rear-view mirror, the '09 election action heats up! Felix G. Arroyo -- son of the former city councilor, but not technically a "Jr." -- is running for an at-large seat in Boston's city council in 2009.

    Arroyo made the announcement tonight on BNN's Election Night Coverage special, with Seth McCoy.

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  • November 04, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    MSNBC has called the New Hampshire Senate race for Jeanne Shaheen over incumbent John Sununu. Susan Collins has bucked the anti-GOP trend and defeated Tom Allen in Maine. Oh, and elsewhere in New England, they're calling Massachusetts for Kerry. And Beatty seemed so optimistic earlier today!

    In other US Senate news, Kay Hagan looks very strong to replace Libby Dole in North Carolina, although I haven't seen it called yet.

  • November 04, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    Looking at national exit polls on voting in US House races is tricky -- it isn't a one-to-one correspondence to the number of elected congressmen. But it's something.

    In 2004, the national exit polls showed voters barely favoring the GOP in US House votes, by maybe 1%; in reality, the spread was close to 7 percentage points, and the seats went 232-202 for the Republicans.

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  • November 04, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    Lots of caveats today about the exit polls -- especially considering A) the '04 debacle where everyone thought Kerry had won, and B) the huge number of Obama-heavy early voters.

    Still, from what I've seen and been told, the exit polls show a big win for Obama.

    The networks are not calling Indiana, and might not for a while -- and the numbers getting flashed on screen might not look good, because heavily-Obama Lake County closed later than the rest -- but the exits say Obama won it easy.

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  • November 04, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    If you're one of those antsy, can't-stand-the-waiting types, after 6:00 go to this link.

    This is the election-return site for a congressional race in the Ft. Wayne area of Indiana; polls close in this district at 6:00 ET. It's a heavy Republican area, where Bush won by a wide margin in 2004.

    Incumbent Republican congressman Mark Souder has a tough fight on his hands from Democratic challenger Michael Montagano.

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  • November 04, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    I got a few questions in by email that I'll respond to here -- and hey, you can all feel free to keep asking me anything even though it's technically not "ask me anything day."

    "Alissa" asks:

    1. What happens if someone submits an absentee ballot (or votes early) then dies? Is the vote still counted?

    2. What time will it all be over tonight?

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  • November 04, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    Interested in what the folks on my "25 Scariest Conservatives" list are saying today?

    Amanda Carpenter reports on voter fraud, or something, in Philadelphia.

    Matt Drudge has a top link of Hillary Clinton caught politicking illegally at a polling place.

    Rush Limbaugh just started his show ranting and raving against the "drive-by media" and their pollsters -- and then blamed problems with military ballots on the "career liberals" in the Pentagon.

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  • November 04, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    The networks, as well as the rest of the media, will have some decisions to make tonight if, as I have long predicted, this is a lopsided victory for Obama.

    Consider this. Virginia and most of Florida close at 7:00 -- and a huge number of Florida's votes are in early anyway; if Obama wins both by 5 points or more, the networks will be able to call them pretty quickly.

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  • November 04, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    Election Day is finally upon us. I've been writing and talking about this Presidential election for a long time -- since before the last one, in fact. In the late summer and early fall of 2004, Mitt Romney opened political action committees in several states that hold early primaries and caucuses; Romney used those state PACs to funnel money from his wealthy backers to the campaign funds of Republican officeholders, office-seekers, and county party committees all over Iowa, New Hampshire, and Michigan prior to that '04 election, in hopes of building goodwill for his upcoming run for the big office.

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  • November 03, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    "Matt" asks:

    1.) Prediction for the three MA ballot questions? I say Question 1 fails, Question 2 passes, and Question 3 fails (despite my own voting no, no, and yes).

    2.) Predictions for the electoral college?

    I say Obama: 338, McCain: 200.

    On the ballot questions, my predictions match the red-head: Question 1 (income tax) fails, Question 2 (marijuana) passes, and Question 3 fails.

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  • November 03, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    "Jefferey McNary" asks about the chief-of-staff position under a President Obama, and about the replacement for his US Senate seat.

    It was recently leaked that Raum Emanuel has the cos job, which both sides denied. I thought that was a strange and unlikely leak -- this has been an air-tight, ultra-disciplined campaign, and it seems awfully unlikely that this kind of (self-sabotaging) info would get out a week before the election.

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  • November 03, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    Election day is nearly upon us at last. Surely you must have some questions you'd like to throw at me, about national, state, or local politics -- or anything else on your mind. Fire away! Leave your questions in the comments to this post, or email to me at dbernstein@phx.com, and I will answer in posts throughout the day. I'm looking forward to it!

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