bestnom1000x50
  • September 23, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    Rock the Vote released a poll of 18-29 year olds today, and I joined in a conference call announcing the results. The horse-race numbers are unsurprising: Obama over McCain, 56%-29%; and Democratic over Republican in a generic Congressional ballot, 49%-27%.

    The big question, however, is whether these youngsters will actually vote

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  • September 22, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    We earlier discovered that Joe Biden will do practice debates against Kathleen Sebelius, as a stand-in for Sarah Palin, because, you know, debating chicks isn't like debating men. Today we learn that debating black people is totally unlike debating white folks -- or at least that's the only reasonable conclusion to draw from the news that John McCain will practice against Michael Steele

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  • September 19, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    "jeffmcnary" asks:

    could the current stall-out in the obama campaign come as a result of his senior team having never been this far "up-river"? .... the obama phenomena has been driven by a media team, not veteran organizers. can these people really put something together to rattle "electoral" college bastions?

    First, I don't think there's a current stall-out -- to the contrary, Obama's been on a slow, steady rise in the polls, such as this Gallup tracker

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  • September 19, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    I have been poking a lot at John McCain's fumblings in response to the current crisis, but as I've mentioned, I've also been unimpressed with Barack Obama. It seems to me that this is the kind of situation where serious Presidential candidates need to project a certain amount of seriousness and sobriety -- that they have an obligation to help the American people, and investors worldwide, believe that the government can and will work to stabilize the situation.

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  • September 19, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    Bring it on -- anything you want to ask. Leave your questions in the comments to this post, and I'll do my best to answer in posts later today. I eagerly await.

  • September 19, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    The McCain campaign continues its outpouring of ads in response to the economic crisis. In addition to two state-specific jobs ads (for Michigan and Ohio), they released an ad yesterday ripping Obama for relying on mortgage and housing policy advice from former Fannie Mae CEO Franklin Raines. Who does not advise Obama in any capacity, and apparently never has, but they're both black so close enough I guess.

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  • September 18, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    Congressional Quarterly reports on a videoconference that Senator Kennedy held today with key members of his committee, strategizing on how to hit the ground running in January on health care legislation.

  • September 18, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    Jon Keller, commenting on Dianne Wilkerson's loss this week, writes that he has "always admired her intelligence, resilience, and willingness to charge into the nearly all-white nearly all-male locker room that is Beacon Hill and demand justice for her constituents." So have I.

    I would add that she has also proved herself willing to charge into the non-white locker room too, by standing up to black religious leaders on social issues, and by forcefully confronting the Patrick administration on auto insurance and CORI reform, among other issues.

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  • September 18, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    A new Field Poll finds alread-low support for the California gay-marriage ban sinking further. Only 38% say they intend to vote for Proposition 8, reversing the newfound legality of same-sex marriage in the state, with 55% opposed and 7% undecided.

    Meanwhile, a Florida ballot question seeking a constitutional ban on gay marriage (and civil unions) in that state is close but currently short of the 60% required for passage.

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  • September 18, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    John McCain has released a new ad focussed on the economic crisis -- his fourth in 48 hours, by my count. This one is called Dome -- watch it here -- and picks up on the Obama=taxes warning from the last effort. The argument is that in an economic crisis, big government is evil; you can tell because in the graphic the Capital building expands to swallow up most of the Eastern seaboard.

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  • September 17, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    In this week's issue of the Boston Phoenix -- in print tomorrow, online now -- I look at our neighbors to the north, who are usually forgotten after primary day but this year are under intense national focus. The political lay of the land in New Hampshire is always tough to gauge, but I can tell you this much: nobody up there is looking forward to that first home heating oil bill next month.

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  • September 17, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    The US intervention with AIG, just hours after John McCain came out emphatically against such a move, forced him to start the day walking that one back; now he supports the bailout, because, as he said on Good Morning America, "there were literally millions of people whose retirement, whose investments, whose insurance were at risk here."

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  • September 17, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    Chris Faraone reports on the scene in Jamaica Plain last night at Sonia Chang-Diaz's victory party, here.

  • September 17, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    Congratulations to Sonia Chang-Diaz, who defied my prediction and triumphed by some 200 votes over veteran lawmaker Dianne Wilkerson.

    Wilkerson acknowledged defeat, although she did not specifically concede. (And, as of 11:00 or so, had not spoken with Chang-Diaz.) She indicated that she was not interested in asking for a recount, or in bringing any legal challenge (as some were suggesting might be appropriate in regard to the late change in precinct voting locations).

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  • September 16, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    As you may know, I have long been on record predicting a win for Dianne Wilkerson in today's big state-senate primary. I have now heard from a few different sources that their analysis of the turnout numbers suggests that Wilkerson will, in fact, hold off Sonia Chang-Diaz. Still close, though, so don't set tomorrow's headline just yet.

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