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Stark Ravings
August 31, 2007
Huckabee Is On the Move
By
webteam
New polls in Iowa and New Hampshire from the American Research Group
show significant movement for Mike Huckabee in the GOP race in the wake of his surprise second-place showing in the Iowa straw poll and a surprise endorsement from the International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers. (They endorsed Hillary on the Democratic side.
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Huckabee
,
Republicans
August 30, 2007
Thompson To Announce Today When He's Announcing
By
webteam
The Politico breathlessly delivers word
that Fred Thompson will announce today that he's officially announcing on September 6.
As one online wag puts it, "It's the announcement of the announcement about the announcement for the announcement."
The man has overstayed his welcome and he hasn't even been welcomed yet.
Post a comment
Republicans
,
Thompson, F.
,
Thompson, Fred
August 30, 2007
Tote Board Column -- 8/30 -- Stable Within Limits
By
webteam
This week's column
, a wrap-up of the Democratic race, concludes that Barack Obama is still the figure to watch in the Democratic race.
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Democrats
,
Obama
,
Tote Board Archive
August 29, 2007
Giuliani's "Firewall" May Not Be Enough
By
webteam
Chris Cillizza of the Washington Post has gotten hold of an internal Rudy Giuliani campaign memo
that describes the January 29th primary in Florida as his "firewall."
That may not be enough. If Giuliani does poorly in the first three contests in Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina, it's highly questionable that his current strong support in Florida will hold.
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Giuliani
,
Republicans
August 27, 2007
Check out Adam Reilly's Piece in this Week's Phoenix
By
webteam
We're a bit late getting to this but
Adam Reilly offers a very useful look
this week in the Phoenix at 3 pop culture developments that could affect the Romney campaign.
We've long felt that over time, Romney's religion would end up becoming a big plus for his campaign, not a minus. JFK in 1960 ended up benefiting greatly from the intense support of fellow Catholics who more than offset any lost support among those disinclined to support a member of his religious faith.
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Press
,
Republicans
,
Romney
August 23, 2007
Tote Board Column -- 8/23 -- White Elephants
By
webteam
This week's column,
"White Elephants,"
looks at the current state of the GOP race and concludes that Rudy Giuliani remains the steady favorite to win the nomination.
Post a comment
Republicans
,
Tote Board Archive
August 22, 2007
Ads Classified: The New Biden Ad
By
webteam
Joe Biden is on the air with an ad where he talks straight to the camera and speaks eloquently about a flag-draped coffin returning home and how the war in Iraq must end.
Blake Dvorak at RealClear Politics raises the right issue:
Isn't Biden the Democratic candidate who is least identified with ending the war? And if so, what is he trying to do in this ad?
Post a comment
Ads Classified
,
Biden
,
Democrats
August 21, 2007
Edwards Retains Lead in Iowa, According to One Leading Poll
By
webteam
According to a Peter Hart poll, cited in the Daily Kos
, John Edwards continues to hold a solid lead (8 points) in Iowa. This is in contrast to several other polls that had Hillary Clinton slightly ahead.
For Edwards, who has recently moved staff out of Nevada into Iowa, the Hawkeye State is the whole campaign. So, it's obviously encouraging news for him.
Post a comment
Democrats
,
Edwards
August 20, 2007
Ads Classified: Giuliani Goes for Radio Ads
By
webteam
In contrast to everyone else in the campaign, Rudy Giuliani in the early stages is going old-fashioned by running his ads on radio.
The most notable
, "Fence," running mostly in New Hampshire and South Carolina, focuses on his efforts to deal with immigration.
Radio buys obviously are much cheaper than TV ones so if the strategy works, it's good politics.
Post a comment
Ads Classified
,
Giuliani
,
Republicans
August 18, 2007
I Wish My Kids Took My Advice This Readily . . . .
By
webteam
Barack Obama is cutting back on his debate schedule
.
Post a comment
Democrats
,
Obama
August 17, 2007
Ads Classified: Romney Thanks Iowa
By
webteam
Mitt Romney, who leaves no stone unturned,
is back on the air in Iowa
, thanking the voters for his straw poll victory. The ad features his speech last Saturday, ending with the line, "Change begins in Iowa and change begins today."
It wasn't even a good speech. But you'd never know it here.
Interesting point: By running on "change," Romney is now running against Bush. It's a clever strategy.
Post a comment
Ads Classified
,
Republicans
,
Romney
August 16, 2007
Tote Board Column -- 8/16 -- About-Face Time
By
webteam
Think the constant debates help the campaigns of the challengers? Guess again:
This week's Tote Board column
examines why the ever-present Democratic debates are destroying the campaigns of John Edwards and Barack Obama, while helping Hillary.
Post a comment
Clinton
,
Democrats
,
Edwards
August 15, 2007
Ads Classified: Clinton Runs First Ad -- And It's A Good One
By
webteam
Hillary Clinton has finally hit the airwaves in Iowa -- the last major Democratic candidate to do so. And her ad is a strong one. Titled
"Invisible,"
it talks about all the invisible ordinary people in America who are ignored by the Bush Administration but won't be ignored by hers.
The ad subtly goes right after Barack Obama's main weakness,
discussed earlier in a Tote Board column
Post a comment
Ads Classified
,
Clinton
,
Democrats
August 14, 2007
The GOP Reshuffle of the Early Primary Calendar is Designed to Stop Romney and Giuliani and Help Thompson
By
webteam
It's been reported everywhere that South Carolina Republicans have moved their primary to Jan. 19, which will likely force Iowa to vote on January 5 and New Hampshire on January 12.
What's been less reported is that the move is intended to boost Fred Thompson at Rudy Giuliani's and Mitt Romney's expense, since Thompson is already virtually out of the running in the first two states and will need to post a good showing somewhere before Florida votes on January 29.
Post a comment
Republicans
August 13, 2007
For Those Who Think Gingrich Isn't Running III . . . .
By
webteam
Consultant and commentator Dick Morris is the latest to see method in Newt Gingrich's madness
, as he eyes an opening for Newt to get into the race in the fall.
Again, we've long seen it as likely too
.
Post a comment
Gingrich
,
Republicans
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