March 2007 - Posts - Stark Ravings

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March 30, 2007

The Campaign's Biggest Non-Story
By webteam
The biggest non-story of the campaign so far is unfolding across the country as the candidates race to impress the pundits with how much money they raised in the first quarter. But, as t his story in the Politico indicates, the result is likely to be something of a stand-off: Virtually all the major candidates are going to do well -- or at least well enough to keep their campaigns viable, not only for now but until the first vote is cast.

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Democrats, Republicans

March 29, 2007

The Latest Gallup Poll: Should Giuliani Start to Worry and the Impact of a Fred Thompson Entry
By webteam
No sooner had this week’s column been filed saying that Rudy Giuliani’s lead in the polls was holding that USA Today/Gallup came in with a new poll showing that his lead over John McCain had slipped compared to its previous poll a month ago from 24% to 9%. Should Giuliani be worried?
Not yet. The 24-point lead of a month ago was clearly a polling aberration that had to correct itself – 9 points seems about right and is still a healthy lead.

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Giuliani, Republicans, Thompson, Fred

March 29, 2007

Tote Board Column -- 3/29 -- Diagnostic Politics
By webteam
This week's Tote Board column looks at the Edwards announcement last week, as well as other developments, and assesses their impact on the campaign.

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Edwards, Tote Board Archive

March 28, 2007

Jesse Jackson Backs Obama
By webteam
The Politico is reporting that Jesse Jackson is saying that he will support Barack Obama. As we discussed in an earlier column, this is only the beginning of a series of endorsements and moves that will ultimately give Obama huge institutional support in the black community. Black voters constitute approximately 20% of the Democratic primary vote and Obama should receive the lion's share of that vote.

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Democrats, Obama

March 23, 2007

Tote Board on the Radio -- The Edwards Announcement and Other Developments
By webteam
Listen here to hear a Tote Board review of the latest campaign developments, broadcast from WUNC in Chapel Hill -- John Edwards' hometown NPR station.

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Edwards

March 22, 2007

Well, That Didn't Take Long -- Tommy Thompson to Enter Race
By webteam
In this week's Phoenix column, the Tote Board predicted that another GOP candidate would enter the race. In between the time we filed and the time the paper was published, our prediction came true. Admittedly, we didn't think it would be Tommy Thompson, but Thompson has indicated he plans to enter the race and go for broke by trying to win Iowa.

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Republicans, Tommy Thompson

March 22, 2007

Baldness and the Presidency
By webteam
This week's Tote Board column discusses briefly the fact that the two GOP front-runners this year are well-known for having used the patented "comb-over' earlier in their careers to hide their baldness.

There is, in fact, a semi-serious point here: Since the real dawn of the television age in the mid-60's, the voters have never opted for a bald president.

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Democrats, Republicans

March 22, 2007

Tote Board Column -- 3/22 -- To Run or Not to Run
By webteam
This week's Tote Board column in the Phoenix looks at the potential candidates still sitting on the sidelines and concludes that the Republicans likely still have another candidate in their future.

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Republicans, Tote Board Archive

March 19, 2007

Ads Classified: 1984 Revisited
By webteam
There is terrific new ad, running only on the Internet here, that attacks Hillary Clinton and boosts the candidacy of Barack Obama. It is a take-off on the celebrated Apple ad from the 1980's which showed a runner with a sledgehammer demolishing a screen (in the current ad featuring a talking Hillary), while a group of zombie-like supporters listen.

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Ads Classified, Clinton, Democrats

March 19, 2007

Mitt Romney: Love in Bain
By webteam
When Hillary Clinton, John McCain, and Rudy Giuliani finally announce officially, we plan to do a Tote Board column on the importance of announcement speeches. Suffice it to say for now that an announcement provides important clues as to how a candidate approaches the campaign and the office of the presidency – more even that a set of PowerPoint slides prepared by your friendly consultant and leaked to the local newspaper.

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Republicans, Romney

March 16, 2007

Tote Board on the Radio
By webteam
Listen here to a radio discussion this morning on WFNX of this week's column.

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March 15, 2007

The Tote Board's Inside Scoop!
By webteam
We almost forgot! This week's Tote Board also breaks news by revealing for the first time ever which member of the Village People each GOP contender wishes he could be. Even Tom Tancredo!

WATCH THE ~~GOP FIELD~~ VILLAGE PEOPLE IN ACTION!

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Republicans, Village People

March 15, 2007

Tote Board Column -- 3/15 -- Setting the Democratic Odds
By webteam
This week's edition of the Tote Board sets the Democratic odds for the first time with Barack Obama in the lead at 6-5, followed by Hillary Clinton at 7-4, John Edwards at 7-1, and the other candidates trailing badly.

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Democrats, Tote Board Archive

March 13, 2007

The Tote Board Blog and the Phony War
By webteam
At the beginning of World War II, in late 1939 and early 1940 before the U.S. entered the conflict, there was a period known as “The Phony War,” when there was little direct fighting between the combatants. The 2008 campaign is in a similar period.
That isn’t to say that nothing of importance is going on. But much of what preoccupies the blogosphere and the political press on a daily basis now is of little consequence.

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March 08, 2007

Tote Board Column -- 3/8 -- Setting the Republican Odds
By webteam
This week's Tote Board column sets out the Republican odds for the first time, listing Rudy Giuliani as the favorite for the nomination at even odds, closely followed by John McCain at 3-2 and way back, Mitt Romney at 13-1.

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Republicans, Tote Board Archive

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