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  • February 15, 2013
    By David S. Bernstein

    "Drew B." asks:

    1) Does Navy Seal and Businessman Gabriel Gomez do any better in this race than Marine and Businessman Sean Bielat did against Frank and Kennedy? 2) How many of the Republicans actually make the ballot?

    On part one, I'm gonna guess Gomez does well -- not winning kind of well, but not embarrassing the party kind of well.

    Read More

  • February 15, 2013
    By David S. Bernstein

    "Christian" asks:

    ...who comes out in the top two of this primary for mayor: John Connolly, Marty Walsh, Rob Consalvo, Tito Jackson, Felix Arroyo, Ayanna Pressley, Mike Ross? How about when including John Fish in that group?

    Pressley and Consalvo.

    Or, I don't know, could be any of them, they're all strong candidates.

    Read More

  • February 15, 2013
    By David S. Bernstein

    "Holyoker" asks:

    Do you have any take on the special to fill the state senate seat in Boston? Do see any other candidates beside the two who have announced? What is your assessment on their chances?

    What do you care, if you're from Holyoke?

    I covered this a little in the Phoenix this week. There is a third declared candidate, in addition to state representatives Nick Collins and Linda Dorcena Forry: Maureen Dahill of South Boston.

    Read More

  • February 15, 2013
    By David S. Bernstein

    "Anonymous" asks via email:

    Are you seeing any tea leaves regarding the special election in Everett for Stat Smith's vacant seat?

    I assume all elections in Everett are decided by who's counting the votes.

    But no, I really don't have a sense -- especially because none of the candidates have had to file any financial reports yet.

    Read More

  • February 15, 2013
    By David S. Bernstein

    "David" (oops) "Matt" asks:

    Brown's new gig at Fox raises the question: If the governor's race comes down to Grossman vs. Baker, then who wins?

    Yeah, I'll agree with you that Brown doesn't look like he's planning to run for office in Massachusetts anytime soon.

    My instinct is that 2014 shapes up for Charlie Baker to beat a Beacon Hill insider figure like Steve Grossman, if that's the match-up.

    Read More

  • February 15, 2013
    By David S. Bernstein

    "Jesse" asks:

    How do you feel about people like Rep. Sciortino or Sen. Clark already announcing their candidacy to replace Markey? Is it too early and assumes too much about how the Senate race plays out, meaning voters could be distracted? Or, is it smart for folks with lower name recognition to jump in so early? And finally, who do you think is the front runner for the seat -- Sciortino, Clark, or others?

    Read More

  • February 15, 2013
    By David S. Bernstein

    "Iceman" asks:

    Is Menino running for re-election or not? And if so, will anyone challenge him?

    And "Jabari" asks:

    Can you outline the timeline that will come into play for the Mayoral election and who will do what, when?

    My answer to Iceman's questions is best summarized in the first section of my recent profile of Boston City Councilor John Connolly

    Read More

  • January 25, 2013
    By David S. Bernstein

    "David S. Bernstein," who can't believe none of you jerks asked about the one thing he was looking forward to answering, asks himself:

    Who do you think Deval Patrick should appoint interim US Senator?

    Great question!

    Let's accept certain parameters:

    1) He wants to name a woman and/or racial minority, and having said so can't very well go back on that;

    Read More

  • January 25, 2013
    By David S. Bernstein

    "MAPoliSpeculator" asks:

    I would love to see your speculation on LG - as well as Treasurer and other open seats. For LG - I have a few thoughts: Kim Driscoll (looked at the Senate in 2010, successful mayor), Thatcher Keyzer (seems ambitious) and Rick Sullivan (successful multi term mayor, agency head and cabinet secretary).

    Read More

  • January 25, 2013
    By David S. Bernstein

    Via email, "Noah" asks:

    Is Steve Grossman the "presumptive nominee" now that Coakley looks like she's out and Murray is out? Who else could get in on the Democratic side? And the Republican side: Does Scott Brown go for it? Does Charlie Baker? Richard Tisei?

    Grossman is strong, probably the "presumptive frontrunner," but not strong enough to be "presumptive nominee" in the sense that, say, Tom Reilly was at this stage of the 2006 cycle.

    Read More

  • January 25, 2013
    By David S. Bernstein

    "Kenn" asks an interesting question:

    Governor Patrick has been receiving a lot of flack for his appointment of Steve Tompkins to the the Suffolk County Sheriff post. He appears to have the experience of being Andrea Cabral's number 2 for most of her tenure there. Some are saying that he lacks the law enforcement credentials and that the selection is political.

    Read More

  • January 25, 2013
    By David S. Bernstein

    Jack Mitchell asks:

    ...If Lynch wins the primary, he will have the sharper pivot. How will Lynch split the baby?

    ...and "dcsln" asks:

    What makes Lynch think he has a shot in a 2-way primary? Does he think it will get crowded enough for a socially conservative Dem to win the primary?

    As you may have heard, Congressman Steve Lynch just essentially leaked out that he's decided to run, in the time since posted my call for Qs this morning.

    Read More

  • January 25, 2013
    By David S. Bernstein

    "RoxburyKid" asks a two-parter:

    Capuano denounced his candidacy for the US Senate special election. What's next for him (Governor's seat?) and should we expect Boston City Councillor Ayanna Pressley to run for congress anytime in the near future?

    I think Capuano would love to be governor, and there's certainly a chance he will run in 2014, but my gut right now is he won't.

    Read More

  • January 25, 2013
    By David S. Bernstein

    "Carl" asks:

    If he enters, and if he wins, who are the favorites to try an replace Steve Lynch?

    I'm gonna need to crowdsource this one, so everybody chime in with your thoughts.

    Obviously you've got the eastern half of Boston in play, which could give you a st sen Jack Hart, rep Linda Forry, maybe Michael Flaherty; not sure but rep Marty Walsh is probably in the district.

    Read More

  • January 25, 2013
    By David S. Bernstein

    "William" asks:

    If Markey wins the Senate election and there becomes an open seat for congress does Will Brownsberger run? If he does and wins who runs for his seat?

    I think he would definitely look at it, yes. In the unlikely event that he wins, look for state rep John Lawn to take his place.

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