Q&A #2: Boston Rep Race Predictions

"David Banner" asks:

Who are the new Democratic State reps filling the 4th, 5th, 6th and 10th after September 14th?

Well, I just answered about the 10th, but let's just go ahead and do them all, shall we? With the caveat that these are all very good races, and that these are just my best guesses based on what I'm hearing and seeing.... If I had to bet money, here are my Exactas:

4th Suffolk (South Boston): 1) Mark McGonagle 2) Nick Collins Menino machine will be enough

5th Suffolk (Dorchester/Roxbury): 1) Carlos Henriquez 2) Barry Lawton The leg work pays off for Carlos

6th Suffolk (Dorchester/Mattapan): 1) Karen Payne 2) Darrin Howell Howell running well, but Payne is strong

10th Suffolk (West Roxbury/Roslindale): 1) Ed Coppinger 2) Kelly Tynan Signs don't vote, but they tell a story on the Parkway

Oh, and there are some Republicans running, so technically the winners of the September 14th primary won't automatically fill the seats. But, yeah.