Coakley-Brown Polling, FWIW

As you may have heard, a new Rasmussen poll has Scott Brown down by only 9 points to Martha Coakley, 50%-41%, which has some folks saying it's a closer race than expected with exactly two weeks to go.

I tend to be skeptical of Rasmussen polls -- which is exactly what I said when reporting the poll they released exactly two weeks before the primary.

That poll had Coakley-Capuano-Khazei-Pagliuca 36-21-14-14, with 5 "other" and 10 undecided. The final was 47-25-15-12. So, either Rasmussen underestimated Coakley's strength, or just about ALL the undecideds broke to her.

Oh, and apparently Scott Brown was on a bunch of national conservative radio today, claiming that it's close, which could boost some online contributions. (I've been wondering why the conservative blogosphere hasn't been interested in this race, but in the last few days that's started to turn.)

Anyway, I hear that the Globe will have their UNH poll on the race this Sunday.

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