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  • September 05, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    The cross-tabs of a new Economist/YouGov poll provides some insight into the undecideds in the Presidential election. The poll, taken this week, has Obama ahead 42-39 -- but the "not sure" respondents are obviously where the action is.

    First thing to notice is that a much higher percentage of women than men say they are undecided, and they therefore make up two-thirds of the group.

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  • September 05, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    I am stunned at how obstinately McCain declined to use this convention to respond to the overarching accusation made by the previous week's Democratic convention: that he doesn't "get it" about what American families are going through.

    A Democracy Corps survey this week of likely voters in 18 battleground states -- 13 of which went for Bush in '04 -- should scare the pants off of McCain in this regard.

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  • September 04, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    Horrible.

    Awful. Just awful.

    Absolutely dreadful. Could not have won him a single vote, and assuredly moved many wavering voters to Obama.

    My favorite part of the disaster was when he dropped in the dire circumstances of real American families -- and then just moved on and forgot about them, never saying anything about what he would do to help them.

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  • September 04, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    I've been wondering how they would handle telling the McCains' sordid coupling tale -- you know, how he picked her up at a bar when he was married to someone else -- and wouldn't you know it, they went right ahead and told it in those same gauzy tones as they do any other love story in those convention videos. Leaving out the whole wife part, of course.

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  • September 04, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    --United Steelworkers union not so keen on getting mentioned every time Sarah Palin refers to her husband.

    --Party of the incumbent President? What incumbent President?

    --Funny, I haven't heard a lot about what McCain plans to do about these rising jobless numbers.

    --In case you run across the story that Palin triumphed despite a broken teleprompter.

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  • September 04, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    Four years ago, from the Republican National Convention in New York, I observed that the evening devoted to "soft politics" -- sissy stuff like economics and helping the downtrodden -- was jam-packed with speakers of the female and minority type, while the night devoted to securing America from worldwide evildoers was a non-stop manfest.

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  • September 04, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    My overall thoughts:

    --Sarah Palin was good. But she wasn't that good. She didn't change anyone's mind about her qualifications or knowledge of the issues, or let anyone know where she stands on any issues. She had a good night, but I don't think she did anything that will matter two weeks from now.

    --In particular, I thought she blew a chance to show actual empathy with Americans; to be the embodiment answer to Obama's charge that McCain and the Republicans "don't get it."

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  • September 03, 2008
    By Carly Carioli


    LIVE VIDEO: RNC Night Three

    9:31 pm: He lifted heavy things. He got his hands dirty. Jesus, Elvis, and FDR.

    9:20 pm: We'd love to see the musty box Mitt Romney pulled that speech out of -- not only did it seem to come, as David Gergen just pointed out, from the 1970s, it also seemed weirdly unaware of what his party's own VP nominee -- the headline speaker! -- has been up to in the past couple of days.


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  • September 03, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    Now THAT's what I'm talking about!

    That's a convention speech, folks -- maybe the best one of the year. I knew he'd liven things up!

    The earlier speeches -- including Mitt's -- were good enough for the base Republicans. But Rudy fired up the crowd AND swayed the folks at home. Well done sir!

  • September 03, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    I was sorely disappointed in the lack of Obama-bashing yesterday at the RNC, but today we'll get plenty of it in the lead-up to the big Palin acceptance speech.

    Even mild-mannered Mike Huckabee will be lobbing bombs. Check out this advance exerpt:

    Maybe the most dangerous threat of an Obama presidency is that he would continue to give madmen the benefit of the doubt.

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  • September 03, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    In the new issue of the Boston Phoenix -- in print tomorrow, online now -- I have an article about the "enthusiasm gap" between the GOP and the Democrats. I suggest that, while Sarah Palin will help McCain, Obama's orchestration of his convention will do more for his base.

    Here's the link.

    The Enthusiasm Gap: This election, with Obama having stoked pennant fever in Denver, it is the Dems who have cornered the excitement market



  • September 03, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    I can't remember a Presidential campaign, this far into the cycle, go so completely into disarray as we've seen with the McCain camp this week.

    Last week during the DNC, I mentioned a conversation I had with reporters who have been following McCain; they said that the campaign gives absolutely no access to the candidate, and that now, with the big media about to join the McCain travelling press, this could cause the campaign serious trouble.

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  • September 03, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    I think we can assume that this is not how the McCain team was hoping the rollout would go. The new allegations, discoveries, rumors, and accusations are flying so fast I can no longer process the wheat from the chafe, and can only point you the way and have you sort it out for yourselves.

    --ABC News says Palin is allegedly trying to stall the Troopergate report from coming out before the election; investigation head says that the report is "likely to be damaging to the Governor's administration."

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  • September 03, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    I just got back from watching and commenting on the RNC at NECN, who had me on as an analyst for the evening apparently unaware that I am an asshat. (See comment to earlier post.)

    Anyway, I am baffled; I don't know what John McCain is thinking. His only chance to win this election is to convince people -- that majority of Americans that wants change and is disgusted with the GOP -- that Barack Obama is too risky to vote for.

    Read More

  • September 02, 2008
    By David S. Bernstein

    A few things that might be useful to keep in mind about the GOP delegates as you watch the convention speeches, courtesy of a CBS News/New York Times poll:

    --Only 32% are women (down from 43% in 2004)

    --93% are white

    --72% are self-described "conservative" (up from 63%)

    --34% are millionaires (up from 27%)

    --30% are Catholic (highest in survey history, beginning 1976)

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