bestnom1000x50
  • October 12, 2007
    By David S. Bernstein

    New WBZ poll has Niki Tsongas ahead by 9% over Jim Ogonowski, essentially unchanged from its poll taken immediately after the primary. Opinions vary as to what that means.

    I think it verifies what we learned in the primary, which is that Tsongas isn't good at adding voters; in that race she received at the ballot box the same percentage she had shown in polling the entire time.

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  • October 10, 2007
    By David S. Bernstein
    EMILY's List (the women-candidates support group) just did a $125,000 "independent expenditure" ad buy for Niki Tsongas today, reported to the FEC this morning.

    It was reported as a "support Tsongas" expenditure, rather than an "oppose Ogonowski" expenditure (that's right, they have to specify), so apparently it isn't an "Ogonowski hates poor sick children" attack ad.

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  • October 10, 2007
    By David S. Bernstein
    I watched yesterday's Republican Presidential debate, attended (most of) last night's at-large Boston City Council debate, and read up on last night's 5th Congressional District debate. Just a few thoughts:

    --I kind of feel bad for Jim Ogonowski; it's a lot to ask for a total political neophyte to turn himself into a top-notch campaigner in the short span of a special election.

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  • October 09, 2007
    By David S. Bernstein
    It's no joke, not when it comes as a suggestion from NH state rep. Jim Splaine, one of the leading voices on the state's primary.

  • October 09, 2007
    By David S. Bernstein

    In my opinion, for what it's worth, Jim Ogonowski misfired from the start on his campaign against Niki Tsongas for Congress, by going along with the idea of nationalizing the race. To me, by far his strongest advantage is the personal: military veteran, farmer, small businessman, took over his brother's Cambodian-immigrant-farmer project when he died, etc.

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  • October 08, 2007
    By David S. Bernstein

    Beginning tomorrow, the candidates for Boston at-large city council meet in a series of four public debates/forums in seven days. There have been previous events, but this week kind of has the feel of the real start of the serious campaign surge. The events are:

    Oct. 9, 5:30pm., Boston Public Library Copley Square

    Oct.

    Read More



  • October 05, 2007
    By David S. Bernstein

    Niki Tsongas raised $619,674 in the pre-special-election period (8/16-9/26), with about $200,000 of it after the 9/4 primary by my count. That's less than I expected. Almost all of that post-primary dough was from in-state, just like Ogonowski's.

    But Tsongas has raised more than $130,000 since then in large donations (which now must be disclosed pretty much as they come in, thanks to new rules), compared with just $27,000 for Ogo.

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  • October 04, 2007
    By David S. Bernstein

    Today is the reporting deadline for the 5th CD campaign finance "pre-special-election" reports, covering 8/16 through 9/26. Ogonowski's is now in, and we can now plainly see that he is not being funded by out-of-state Republicans. And that's gonna be a problem for him.

    He raised a disappointing -- in my opinion -- $200,513 in that period, for an election-cycle total of $434,120 (much of which he spent during the primary).

    Read More

  • October 04, 2007
    By David S. Bernstein

    This is a major, major public issue. Boston's residents, property owners, and businesspeople must be able to trust that the personnel who respond in an emergency will be professional, well-trained, and ready to perform. If firefighters were sent in while drunk or high, that represents a serious breakdown of the public trust.

    Read More

  • October 03, 2007
    By David S. Bernstein

    In tomorrow's issue of the Phoenix, I look at recent election results and wonder: has the big Deval Patrick-inspired progressive movement lost its energy?

    It's online now:

    The Left, left out? Deval Patrick's famed grassroots progressives are losing steam and influence.

  • October 03, 2007
    By David S. Bernstein
    A South Carolina blog says that Mitt Romney faked an illness last weekend to skip out on a series of scheduled SC appearances -- and instead went to Utah for a series of appearances and fundraisers.



  • October 02, 2007
    By David S. Bernstein
    As I've said before, San Francisco has developed a tragic inferiority complex because Boston beat them to be the first place for legal gay marriage in the US.

    Thus I am not surprised to learn that SF -- or as I call it, "Boston Lite" -- has decided to erect a giant phallus 200 feet higher than the 1000-foot monolith Tom Menino intends to raise here in Beantown.

    Read More

  • October 02, 2007
    By David S. Bernstein
    The Boston Globe survey of attitudes toward casinos, reported this past Sunday, contained some interesting data about the different views of whites and blacks. It's important to note that the number of African Americans responding was very small (properly reflecting their numbers statewide), so the data is not scientifically reliable.

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  • October 02, 2007
    By David S. Bernstein
    The big buzz in Presidential politics at the moment is the sentiment expressed by some on the social-conservative right that they will support a third-party candidate if Rudy Giuliani gains the GOP nomination.

    I continue to stubbornly refuse to believe that Giuliani will win the nomination, so that speculation is moot to me.

    Read More

  • October 02, 2007
    By David S. Bernstein
    CNN reports that Mitt Romney has aired 10,000 television ads since February, mostly in Iowa and New Hampshire plus a few in South Carolina and Florida. None of the other GOP candidates have made any significant TV buys, although McCain just started his first ad in New Hampshire. CNN estimates that Romney has spent $8 million on TV ads.

    Read More

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