New WBZ poll has Niki Tsongas ahead by 9% over Jim Ogonowski, essentially unchanged from its poll taken immediately after the primary. Opinions vary as to what that means.
I think it verifies what we learned in the primary, which is that Tsongas isn't good at adding voters; in that race she received at the ballot box the same percentage she had shown in polling the entire time.
In my opinion, for what it's worth, Jim Ogonowski misfired from the start on his campaign against Niki Tsongas for Congress, by going along with the idea of nationalizing the race. To me, by far his strongest advantage is the personal: military veteran, farmer, small businessman, took over his brother's Cambodian-immigrant-farmer project when he died, etc.
Beginning tomorrow, the candidates for Boston at-large city council meet in a series of four public debates/forums in seven days. There have been previous events, but this week kind of has the feel of the real start of the serious campaign surge. The events are:
Oct. 9, 5:30pm., Boston Public Library Copley Square
Niki Tsongas raised $619,674 in the pre-special-election period (8/16-9/26), with about $200,000 of it after the 9/4 primary by my count. That's less than I expected. Almost all of that post-primary dough was from in-state, just like Ogonowski's.
But Tsongas has raised more than $130,000 since then in large donations (which now must be disclosed pretty much as they come in, thanks to new rules), compared with just $27,000 for Ogo.
Today is the reporting deadline for the 5th CD campaign finance "pre-special-election" reports, covering 8/16 through 9/26. Ogonowski's is now in, and we can now plainly see that he is not being funded by out-of-state Republicans. And that's gonna be a problem for him.
He raised a disappointing -- in my opinion -- $200,513 in that period, for an election-cycle total of $434,120 (much of which he spent during the primary).
This is a major, major public issue. Boston's residents, property owners, and businesspeople must be able to trust that the personnel who respond in an emergency will be professional, well-trained, and ready to perform. If firefighters were sent in while drunk or high, that represents a serious breakdown of the public trust.
In tomorrow's issue of the Phoenix, I look at recent election results and wonder: has the big Deval Patrick-inspired progressive movement lost its energy?
It's online now:
The Left, left out? Deval Patrick's famed grassroots progressives are losing steam and influence.