What's Really At Stake in Tomorrow's Florida GOP Primary
The press has been focusing on the wrong stakes in tomorrow's GOP Florida primary. Yes, John McCain would like to win. But what is far more important to his candidacy is that Rudy Giuliani finish far enough behind his totals that Giuliani's candidacy is buried. McCain can afford a narrow loss to Mitt Romney in Florida. What he can't afford is a viable Giuliani on Super Tuesday, draining votes from his candidacy -- especially in New York, New Jersey, and Connecticut. These are all winner-take-all states that McCain needs to forge a first ballot victory.
How Giuliani does tomorrow will determine the course of the GOP contest.