First Poll to Show McCain in Lead in NH Appears

    With only, believe it or not, a week to go until New Hampshire, Boston's Channel 7, along with Suffolk University, has new numbers for both parties in NH. They are:

    McCain 30%
    Romney 25%
    Giuliani 14%

    and

    Clinton 36%
    Obama 22%
    Edwards 14%

    This is the first poll of which we're aware that has McCain ahead of Romney, though it certainly reflects the trend over the past two weeks.
    The guess here is that what McCain has to be concerned about Thursday in Iowa -- as much as a Romney victory -- is a massive showing by Obama (a la the Des Moines Register poll results) that convinces some independents in NH to leave McCain for Obama.