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More Evidence That Obama May Be Stumbling

    Two more articles from the Chicago papers indicate that Obama may be having his problems. The Trib details how Obama is having trouble connecting with working-class voters -- a trend we predicted a while back. Then the Sun-Times has a dispatch on how the Obama campaign is counting on a hidden youth vote.
    This is a bad sign. Democratic campaigns in trouble almost always talk about how there is a hidden vote somewhere that's going to bail them out. It started with George McGovern in 1972, whose campaign told everyone not to believe the polls with Richard Nixon because the newly-enfranchised 18-21 year-olds would flock to the polls and carry him to victory.
    For those who have forgotten their history, McGovern carried one state that fall (Massachusetts!!).
    Obama has a lot of energy going for him with his youth support. They'll ring doorbells, leaflet, and give him a lot of energy on the ground in Iowa and New Hampshire. But historically, youth don't vote in great numbers and even if they did, there are probably not enough under-30's to swing a primary or caucus anyway.
   

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