Congressman David Cicilline's battle with Republican challenger Brendan Doherty is expected to come down to the wire today. And if it's as close as the polls would suggest, then this winter's once-per-decade redistricting process, which tilted Cicilline's district to the left, could make all the difference.
Among the most important changes: the addition of the heavily Latino south side of Providence to Cicilline's district. The area proved a mainstay of Cicilline's elections as mayor of Providence. But the closest analogue to today's election would be the last presidential race, in 2008.
Just how Democratic was the south Providence vote back then? Well, in Wards 8, 9, 10. and 11 - large swaths of which Cicilline picked up in redistricting - the vote was 10,433 for Obama and 807 for McCain. That's nearly 93 percent of the vote for the Democrat atop the ticket.
Democratic Congressman James Langevin, whose district included those south Providence wards, won 10,195 votes to 693 for his GOP opponent Mark Zaccaria. That's almost 94 percent of the vote.
Langevin won one Ward 11 precinct 120-1.